BlockBeats news, on November 26, researcher Adam from Greeks.live posted on social media, "In the third quarter, we observed that the options market was clearly optimistic about the fourth quarter. Even during the continuous fall of Bitcoin prices in late August, the Q4 options holdings remained bullish. We referred to it at the time as the Q4 market or Christmas market; however, the big dump on 1011 and the continued decline in November have shattered the previous market structure. In the current market context, the voices calling for a price surge to new highs in the fourth quarter have completely disappeared, and a pessimistic atmosphere is spreading. Although this week RV, IV, and 25D Skew have shown a downward trend, the market's panic has not dissipated, and the mid to long-term options data from the end of this year to next year still points to bearishness. Due to the approach of monthly delivery, there have been significant price fluctuations this month, leading to a strong demand from whales for position shifting. From an overall data perspective, a short-term bottom has already formed, and the options market's preference for the recent continuous decline has weakened, with a higher expectation for short-term market fluctuations. However, the market situation in the last month of this year remains dangerous, and volatility expectations are still high.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
Options traders bet on Bitcoin returning to 80,000, as CPI inflation stabilizes
Bitcoin has recently stabilized around $70,200, and options market data indicates approximately a 35% chance of breaking above $80,000 before June. The market is hedging against downside risks, with a structural shift showing decreased defensive positioning and increased rebound bets. Analysis suggests that although short-term inflation data meets expectations, potential future increases could add uncertainty. Bitcoin's role is shifting from a high-risk asset to a hybrid asset, reflecting a change in investor perception.
MarketWhisper25m ago
Goldman Sachs warns: US stocks have "extreme rebound" momentum, with hedge short positions triggering short covering rally
Goldman Sachs pointed out that hedge funds are currently maintaining long positions in U.S. stocks while building large short positions through ETFs and index futures, creating potential short covering momentum. If positive news emerges, the market could rebound quickly. However, at the same time, reduced market liquidity and high uncertainty could also intensify volatility.
ChainNewsAbmedia38m ago
XRP Today News: XRPL 2.7 million transactions hit a new high, token price diverges from "decoupling"
XRP ledger's daily trading volume reaches 2.7 million transactions, but the XRP token price remains steady at around $1.37, indicating that increased on-chain activity has not led to new capital inflows. Analysis shows that internal transfers within institutions and automated trading account for a high proportion, failing to create strong buying demand. Breaking through $1.61 is the key to future upward momentum, while the long-term target of $100 requires multiple conditions to align, including widespread institutional adoption and an improved market environment.
MarketWhisper49m ago
Cardano Price Near Key Pivot as Macro Liquidity Signals Shift
Key Insights
Analyst Dan Gambardello links Cardano’s monthly RSI reset and macro liquidity cycles to conditions that previously preceded ADA’s explosive 2020–2021 rally.
ADA trades near $0.26 while the $0.288 moving average forms resistance, and the $0.24 to $0.25 zone continues acting as
CryptoFrontNews1h ago
The United States releases 172 million barrels of strategic oil! Iran warns oil prices could rise to $200
The U.S. Secretary of Energy announced plans to coordinate the release of 400 million barrels of oil to counter Iran's threats, with the release of 172 million barrels being the largest in history. Market reactions to this move are uncertain, and oil prices remain affected by the security situation in the Strait of Hormuz. At the same time, oil price fluctuations will impact the Bitcoin market, potentially increasing inflationary pressures and limiting liquidity. The United States plans to replenish the released oil within a year, which should not have a long-term impact on energy security.
MarketWhisper1h ago
Crude oil and gold volatility indices hit new highs in 2021, with bullish sentiment dominating the crypto options market.
On March 12th, Gate Research Institute noted that the volatility of traditional assets such as gold and crude oil reached new highs, at 33% and 108% respectively. In the crypto assets sector, the implied volatility of BTC and ETH is also high. Recently, the market has been dominated by put options, but the demand for hedging has weakened, and short-term price fluctuations may be influenced by Gamma effects. Gate has also launched gold and crude oil options, marking the first introduction of traditional assets.
GateNews1h ago