# Is the recession really coming in 2025? Let's see what the data says.
Economists are now divided into two factions, arguing fiercely. One side says recession signals are everywhere: the US Q1 GDP contracted by 0.2%, the unemployment rate is expected to rise, 83% of CEOs predict a recession in the next 12-18 months, and the yield curve has been inverted for over two years... The other side says not to panic, the unemployment rate is only 4.2%, consumption is still growing, retail sales increased by 1.4% in March, and the Federal Reserve is keeping interest rates steady.
Interestingly, th
View OriginalEconomists are now divided into two factions, arguing fiercely. One side says recession signals are everywhere: the US Q1 GDP contracted by 0.2%, the unemployment rate is expected to rise, 83% of CEOs predict a recession in the next 12-18 months, and the yield curve has been inverted for over two years... The other side says not to panic, the unemployment rate is only 4.2%, consumption is still growing, retail sales increased by 1.4% in March, and the Federal Reserve is keeping interest rates steady.
Interestingly, th
