TraderInvestmentNotes

December 31, 2025 Daytime Market Analysis
Last night's overall meeting minutes leaned bullish. Next month, the key focus is on CPI data stability, which will accelerate the steps toward rate cuts. The daily chart shows a relatively low trend; even if prices fall, they will first rise before dropping.
Mid-term: Prevent a panic spike; if a spike occurs, confidently add long positions... Even if the spike closes at 2650, the outlook remains bullish. The current targets are still the daily golden line at 3400, 3360, 94,000, and 95,000.
Today: Buy on dips, add in batches, mainly oscillating upw

December 30, 2025 Daytime Market Analysis
Continuously testing the support levels of the range... The minutes of the monetary policy meeting【will accelerate the market catalyst, will accelerate the Fed's rate cuts, ①Currently, the data mentioned will refer to next year's situation. If the previous data is still being referenced, it is somewhat bearish; ②If analyzed according to the previous CPI data, it is somewhat bullish. In simple terms, it is leaning bullish】The oscillating range needs to control position sizing... You can pre-position long orders...
That day: Long positions on the daily r

December 29, 2025 Daytime Market Analysis
Defensive holiday surprise attack... The technical aspect still shows no breakthrough in volatility. No special news this week; rely on 80% technical analysis. From Monday to Wednesday, a triangle contraction indicates a bullish trend... Slow pullback expected. Mainstream small coins can be considered simultaneously.
That day: The major technical level remains at 2920, and long positions above 2900 are maintained... Without surprise news, focus remains on long positions...
Resistance levels: 91500, 93500, 3030, 3150
Support levels: 85200, 86000, 2900,

December 26, 2025 Daytime Market Analysis
4-hour and sideways triangle consolidation, waiting for positive news with a possible surge, gradually picking up long positions... There is a chance for a rebound in the larger cycle with a wave of long opportunities... During the day, oscillating longs, take profit after a 30-50 point spread.
Weekend: Be cautious of a big spike on Saturday and Sunday, then continue to confidently go long. For Bitcoin, defend the 4-hour support with a manual order at a spike, in the 2850-2830 range for Ethereum.
Ethereum today: Long positions at 2900, 2910; additional

December 25, 2025 Daytime Market Analysis
Mid-term: 2650 must not be broken; insert needles to create divergence and boldly buy the dip. The macro interest rate cut cycle will increase in 2026. For defense, insert needles to create divergence and buy the dip. As long as needles are inserted, consider multiple strategies.
Same day: 4-hour continues to fluctuate, mainly bullish...
Resistance levels: 3080, 3150, 89500, 91500
Support levels: 2910, 2850, 86000, 87000
Ethereum same day: 2920, 2900 long positions, add to positions or set orders at 2880, 2860 long positions, take profit at 2980, 3020,

2025.12.24 Daytime Market Analysis
The market has not deviated from the oscillation for 4 hours... The key dividing point between bulls and bears is 3000 points... There is still an opportunity at the end of the month, and the core short-term pressure remains on the daily golden line.
On the day: fluctuated down and then up, leaving additional long positions, adding more when it falls back.
Resistance levels: 3080, 3150, 89500, 91500
Support levels: 2910, 2850, 86000, 87000
Ethereum Day: Buy on the dip between 2925-2910... Take profit at 2980, 3000
3000, 3030 there is divergence here that will

2025.12.23 Daytime Market Analysis
Small capital contracts can trade the top ten cryptocurrencies... Continue to observe fluctuations for 4 hours, with no news this week, refer to 80% technical analysis for trading... The short-term target remains unchanged at the daily golden line, with a low buy at 3250, near 92500.
Mid-term: Short-term interest rates are expected to decrease, with a generally positive outlook for the future. The mid-term target for daily gold line long positions remains unchanged for profit-taking.
Same day: 30-minute status needs to be repaired before continuing... Strong

December 19, 2025 Daytime Market Analysis
CPI is very bullish... The daily chart leans towards a bearish outlook, short-term defense against a black swan, and maintaining a short-term oscillation strategy... The data deviation is quite large, indicating that the expectation of future interest rate cuts will increase, which will also boost future positive sentiment.
For the day: Watch whether the US market pushes higher or not; if it stabilizes above 2950, there will be a rally next week... If it doesn't push higher, it’s basically a breakdown with a spike... Continue to go long during the day.

December 17, 2025 Daytime Market Analysis
Large-range 4-hour oscillation... Today’s focus is whether it can hold above 3000 points... Currently showing a daily line bottoming pattern... As long as the decline does not break the level, the market remains optimistic...
Focus on positive news expectations... Spot trading remains mainly swing trading... If CPI meets expectations, look for a surge towards 93,000, above 3,100
During the day: Mainly oscillating, short-term bullish and bearish are not clear, intra-day leaning bullish... Can consider a pullback to add long positions... Short-term long

December 16, 2025 Daytime Market Analysis
Some rumors suggest American sell-offs. This week’s macro non-farm payroll data reflects employment levels. CPI consumption index has remained stable or contracted due to the shutdown. Whether the news is positive or negative, the data leans towards the positive. Trump’s speeches can only set expectations but cannot materialize them. Spot trading can only ride the waves [unless tonight’s US session pulls back, otherwise it’s a setup].
That day: No major spikes, a rebound is bearish, continuous downward decline testing support levels. 30-minute Ethereum

December 15, 2025 Daytime Market Analysis
Monday's strong rally indicates a bullish trend… CPI is no longer considered particularly important, but the data looks favorable… as long as there is a pullback, it’s mainly long positions… the active spot sectors are just taking 20% of the wave and then exiting…
That day: as long as it pulls back, buy more, look at the daily candle and golden cross…
Resistance levels: 3180, 3250, 90600, 92500
Support levels: 3030, 3050, 87500, 88000
Ethereum that day: For aggressive traders, watch for signals to add small positions, 3080, 3070 long positions… stop lo

December 12, 2025 Daytime Market Analysis
Currently continuing to fluctuate... Watching for a gradual breakout today to create divergence...
For the day: Today will push for another high to create divergence, then close the long position and re-enter longs later.
Resistance levels: 3520, 3450, 94500, 96800
Support levels: 3050, 3130, 89300, 87500
Ethereum for the day: 3210, 3200, 3190 long positions... 3150, 3130 adding positions, take profit at 3320, 3350, 3380
Intraday breakout with 15-minute divergence short positions, in the 3290-3320 range, monitor the real order flow, stop loss 10 points

December 11, 2025 Daytime Market Analysis
Expecting a 25% basis point rate cut, possibly another rate cut next year. The daily chart shows short-term resistance, with a temporary high point in the short term...
Mid-term key resistance levels: 3450, 3520, 94500, 95600
For the day: Bitcoin continues to fluctuate on the 4-hour chart, with a strategy of first going long, then short, then long again
Resistance levels: 93000, 94500, 3400, 3350
Support levels: 87500, 89000, 3130, 3180
Ethereum today: 3310, 3290, 3350 short-term high long position... Take profits at 3200, 3210, 3180
3200, 3210, 3180 l

2025.12.10 Daytime Market Analysis
As expected, the rebound reached the gold line resistance... Future expectations are for rate cut speculation, with tonight's interest rate announcement... There could be a rate cut... If the speech leans towards the topic of rate cuts, then there could be another big bullish candle...
For today: Defend against a pullback and shakeout... Consider going long again after a retracement... Once it stabilizes above 3300, the second leg up will continue.
Resistance levels: 3420, 3520, 95600, 98000
Support levels: 3250, 3100, 91500, 88500
ETH for today: Long at 3230

2025.12.9 Daytime Market Analysis
From the daily chart, there is another opportunity for a price surge. There are expectations of an interest rate cut this week... Currently, the price has reached a support level, and in the current phase, short-term stops are quite likely to be triggered... There hasn't been a solid breakout... Policy-wise, there shouldn't be any particularly bearish news, so we expect a strong oversold rebound and a bullish market.
For today: Look for long positions on pullbacks, anticipate a choppy long-side market, and be prepared for positive news regarding interest rates

2025.12.8 Daytime Market Analysis
This week there is an FOMC meeting. Powell’s statements will be challenging. As long as the probability of a rate cut drops, go long. Spot can be played as a swing trade... exit by the end of the year... there are positive factors within the institutional system... Ethereum is holding above 3250, watch the daily golden cross.
Spot: Focus on assets within Binance’s market cap, those showing bottoming signals, just starting to move, with good and stable liquidity, mainly platform tokens. For small funds, look at assets with a $100 million market cap and those th

2025.12.4 Daytime Market Analysis
Wait for a pullback before entering... There has been a lot of news lately, mostly positive over the past two days. On the technical side, close out long positions at pressure levels on short-term rebounds. There is a probability of a rate cut around the middle of the month. ETH is facing daily gold line resistance in the short term.
For today: As long as the 4-hour golden cross remains, don't get stuck in a short-term pattern, and watch for continuous wicks...
Resistance levels: 3430, 3600, 96800, 99800
Support levels: 3170, 3100, 91500, 90800
ETH today: 15-m