ChainCatcher reports that, according to Jintiao, before the data release, based on CME “Fed Watch,” the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March is 4.1%, and the probability of holding rates steady is 95.9%. By April, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut is 16.4%, and the probability of holding rates steady is 83%, with a 0.5% chance of a total 50 basis point cut. By June, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut is 44%.
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