U.S. President Donald J. Trump announced today on social media that he has instructed the Secretary of War and other relevant government agencies to begin identifying and releasing all government files related to “aliens, extraterrestrial life, Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP), and Unidentified Flying Objects (UFO).” He emphasized that “all highly complex but extremely important information” will be disclosed, and stated, “God bless America.”
Trump’s statement quickly triggered market reactions. According to the decentralized prediction market Polymarket, the market price for “Will the United States confirm the existence of extraterrestrial life before 2027?” surged after the news, jumping from nearly 10% to around 20%, reaching a recent high.
(What is a prediction market? Polymarket beginner’s guide: betting methods, settlement processes, and risk analysis)
The rules of the bet state that as long as “the U.S. President, cabinet members, members of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any federal agency” explicitly confirm the existence of “extraterrestrial life or its technology” before December 31, 2026, the market will settle as Yes; otherwise, it will settle as No.
Currently, no further details have been announced by officials, nor have any new files been made public. The market’s subsequent movement will depend on whether the U.S. government releases concrete evidence that can be regarded as a “definitive conclusion.”
This article, “Trump orders UFO files to be released, Polymarket ‘extraterrestrial life confirmation’ bet surges to 20%,” first appeared on Chain News ABMedia.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
Polymarket, Peter Thiel's Palantir Eye 'Surveillance Models' for Sports Prediction Markets
In brief
Polymarket is creating surveillance systems for sports-focused prediction markets with Palantir, the firm known for its work with the U.S. military.
The initiative comes as lawmakers have called out suspicious trading activity on markets related to U.S. military efforts, while
Decrypt1h ago
Preventing Insider Trading! Polymarket teams up with Palantir, a company owned by Peter Thiel, to develop AI monitoring tools, paving the way for expansion into the U.S.
Decentralized prediction market Polymarket is collaborating with data company Palantir and TWG AI to develop AI monitoring tools for sports betting to detect abnormal trading and prevent insider trading. This system will be used for Polymarket's new US compliance platform, demonstrating its efforts to re-enter the US market and respond to regulatory measures from competitor Kalshi.
動區BlockTempo3h ago
U.S. CFTC Chair: Blockchain prediction markets could become "truth machines," with clear regulatory rules coming soon
CFTC Chairman Michael Selig stated that blockchain-based prediction markets can enhance price discovery and information transparency, becoming a powerful "truth machine." Using the 2024 U.S. presidential election as an example, he emphasized that market pricing accurately reflects election outcomes. The CFTC will introduce new regulations to guide compliant trading of event contracts.
GateNews3h ago
Polymarket hires Palantir and TWG AI to oversee sports contract trading
Polymarket is hiring Palantir Technologies and TWG AI to strengthen oversight of its sports contract trading, aiming to identify and prevent suspicious activities. This move comes amid increased regulation of prediction markets, with a focus on screening participants and cross-referencing banned lists.
GateNews3h ago
A new market has been added to the prediction platform: Will the price of crude oil break through the historical high of $147.27 before the end of March?
On March 10th, a certain prediction platform added a market forecast that the price of crude oil could break the all-time high of $147.27 before the end of the month, with a current probability of 11%. This price was reached in 2008, driven by surging demand in emerging markets and supply tightening.
GateNews6h ago
Polymarket Data: Market bets that the Federal Reserve has an 80% chance of cutting interest rates in September
Gate News Report, March 10 — According to the latest data from Polymarket, there are significant differences in market bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at different times this year. Among them, the probability of a rate cut in September is the highest at 80%; July has a 59% chance; June has a 52% chance; April has a 16% chance; and March has only a 1% chance. Currently, the trading volume of this prediction market has exceeded $1.6 million.
GateNews7h ago
