Solana Price Eyes $78 Support as Fibonacci Level and Market Structure Align

SOL0,93%
  • Solana trades around the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement long-term support zone.
  • Short-term charts show recovery attempts after sell-offs and liquidity sweeps.
  • Market cap remains stable at around $70 billion.

Solana traders’ focus is on a critical support area near $78. Technical charts reflect short-term volatility. Recovery attempts and longer-term projections will depend on whether this level holds.

Long-Term Solana Price Structure Near $78 Support

Solana price is approaching a historically relevant zone after a prolonged decline from its 2022 peak above $250. The asset is near the $78 region, an area around the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.

One market participant, Stefan B, stated on X that limit orders are positioned near $78. This is where there are suggestions of price testing support early.

$SOL I start buying at 78$.

Let the price come to you… It didn’t cured cancer so I do not see why it would front run the .786 pivot fib…

My limit orders are waiting. pic.twitter.com/Vf1nFkEkIP

— StefanB (@Stefan_B_Trades) December 29, 2025

Such remarks frame the level as a technical checkpoint rather than a catalyst. The broader weekly structure points to a bearish short-term trend, while longer-term projections remain conditional.

Chart projections indicate that stabilization near support could open room for recovery toward the $200–$225 range. That outlook remains dependent on sustained demand and the absence of further breakdowns below the current zone.

Intraday Charts Show Recovery Attempts After Sell-Off

Lower-timeframe data presents a more tactical view of Solana price behavior. SOL saw a sharp sell-off from the 127–128 range, followed by a decisive move lower.

The decline cleared prior demand zones, resulting from stop-driven selling and position unwinding. After reaching lows near 122.3, price action shifted into consolidation.

The range between roughly 122.9 and 124.1 became a base, marked by repeated defenses at support. Contracting volume during this phase suggested reduced sell pressure rather than continuation of the decline.

Technical setups during this period favored defined risk management. 125.3–125.4, aligns with VWAP and prior structure. Supply between 126 and 127.5 continues to cap momentum, within the corrective context.

Market Capitalization Reflects Balance Amid Volatility

Solana price action over the past week is mirrored in market capitalization trends. The seven-day chart shows fluctuations largely contained between $68 billion and $70 billion.

This behavior points to consolidation rather than broad capital exit from the network.

_Source: _CoinGecko

Early-week dips in market capitalization appeared reactive, with quick recoveries following sharp declines. A notable liquidity sweep pushed valuation toward $67 billion before buyers responded.

The rapid rebound indicated demand absorption rather than sustained distribution. Later in the period, market capitalization briefly surged above $72 billion before retracing.

This move suggested short-term speculative activity that lacked structural backing. By week’s end, valuation settled near $70 billion, reinforcing this level as an equilibrium zone amid ongoing Solana price volatility.

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