WillWestbrook

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In-depth article sharing, key point summary:
• End of the first crypto curve: This refers to the collapse of the cryptocurrency market model driven by speculation, narratives, and zero-sum games. 1011 is a landmark event marking this end.
• The waning strength of traditional finance: The monetary policies (such as rate hikes/ cuts) relied upon by the traditional financial system (TradFi) have become ineffective, turning into "emotional massage." This is also why rate cuts and liquidity injections are more easily priced in rather than truly driving sustained market trends.
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When silver was around 58 at the beginning of the month, I was really afraid of heights🥲.
Later, I let AI do the calculations and found out that, when adjusted for inflation, silver has just begun.
In 2011, the equivalent was about 72, which was the high point in nearly 10 years and has already been completely surpassed.
The high point set by Hunt Brothers for silver around 1980 was approximately 206 USD, the all-time high, and it is still only halfway up the mountain.
I was originally doing arbitrage in A-shares, but now with leveraged off-market purchases and foreign exchange, I remain opti
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Based on my observations as a media industry professional, many tools' data indicate that retail investors have been in a bear market for quite a long time.
This round, except for some strong mainstream coins $SOL $BNB $XRP reaching new all-time highs, most altcoins are only in a long-term bear market rebound. The most classic example is DOT. In fact, only Bitcoin best fits the 4-year cycle because it is driven by #BTC's own supply and demand logic.
SOL4,07%
BNB1,5%
XRP8,6%
DOT7,76%
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Naval's Life System:
Happiness = Health + Wealth + Good Relationships
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Glad to hear that there are actually arbitrage opportunities in the A-shares.
The Guotou Silver LOF Fund has experienced a continuous premium of 20% for several weeks, and today the premium soared to 50%. Subscribing for 100 can yield an arbitrage of 50 bucks, definitely a solid pig's trotter rice.
Arbitrage Operation Tutorial:
Search any broker: On-market fund - Subscription - Enter code 161226 - Amount fill 100
Generally, if you successfully buy in on the second day, you can sell at a high premium on the third day. If you are optimistic about the silver market, you can also continue to h
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I went through the entire last bear market cycle, and the sentiment now is almost exactly the same. There are always people saying the four-year cycle no longer exists, calling this an atypical bull market. There are always people hoping for a fully priced-in liquidity injection, refusing to admit defeat, and when they're stuck, they just say they'll wait another four years. What's the point?
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Although I am reluctant to believe and admit it, in the past two days, the likes of $fil $icp $Zec have been pumping fiercely, yet the overall market keeps showing downward movement. These are extremely bad signals. ETH will close its weekly line in two days, and the outcome will soon be revealed. We can only wait for the market to show the results.
FIL3,71%
ICP5,33%
ZEC-5,89%
ETH3,35%
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GateUser-29a94fc3vip:
Have you made money on this coin? Even if it pumps this high, it’s just a matter of running away from the current position. Besides Bit and ETF, the rest are just air.
Polymarket and other prediction markets are still in a relatively early stage. If you are very familiar with major sports and esports events, there are good arbitrage opportunities. For example, just now I saw Wembanyama with five fouls, and Doncic hasn't even taken the court yet. I decisively built a position on the Lakers. At that time, the odds were only 24. My plan was to sell after Doncic came on and had a little rebound. I didn't expect the Lakers to keep playing better and better, showing a trend of turning the game around, until Wembanyama directly fouled out with six fouls, an
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The divergence between bulls and bears is severe, but in reality, there isn't much divergence.
I believe that most seasoned investors, if they look at it rationally, know that many indicators show the bull market has not yet peaked.
It's just short-term fluctuations, especially the impact of the altcoin black swan on judgment. Abandoning these irrational factors, the classic top escape indicators have not hit even one, and this indicator has never missed.
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Although TACO is late, I think you shouldn't be too happy too soon. From what I know about Trump, there will be at least a few back and forths here, and there will still be opportunities to buy the dip in batches with swing trading.
TRUMP4,91%
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Is Bitcoin digital gold?
Russell is my favorite philosopher, and he once said an ultimate answer regarding wisdom:
Whether you are studying something or contemplating any viewpoint, always ask yourself what the facts are and what truths are confirmed by those facts. Never let yourself be influenced by what you would prefer to believe or by what you think people believe will have a better impact on society.
BTC1,62%
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I have always convinced myself with my understanding of the basic principles of the crypto world that there is no need to complain so much, just continue to maintain a calm mindset and wait for opportunities to take action.
1. Law of Conservation of Wealth: The money you earn is always in someone else's pocket. In the crypto world, only wealth transfers occur; wealth cannot be created out of thin air. What you perceive as a grand project is merely your discovery of the path of wealth transfer that it has created, and you are the first to embark on that journey.
2. The efficiency of wealth
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Those who trade stocks know that in a bull run, securities lead the way; it's the absolute engine of the bull.
$BNB is the largest securities concept in the crypto circle, hope you understand ❤️
BNB1,5%
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I judge that the bull run has not yet peaked. The biggest principle is to look for a collective climax, a period where liquidity is off the charts, and everyone is experiencing unrealized gains. Only when this period arrives will there be a large-scale profit realization and an opportunity for the market maker's collective exit. Last year, there was actually a wave, but it was not strong enough.
The entire market is currently at the starting point of leveraging, and most DAT has just begun.
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The last round of interest rate cuts started in August 2019, and the overall pattern is still very simple: "buy the expectation, sell the fact."
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The revised data tonight is quite crucial; if it is significantly downgraded.
, will greatly increase the probability of a 50bp rate cut, the attributes of $BTC are being tested.
My expected scenario is a significant downward adjustment, a countdown to a bull market script, dropping in rhythm with the US stock market after the data is released, and after the final drop, moving up to a new high along with gold.
BTC1,62%
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BTC has been oscillating between fintech stocks and digital gold during this cycle.
The non-farm data has been out for a whole day now, gold has fluctuated and stood above 3600, while Bitcoin has been fluctuating downwards, and the result is clearly evident.
BTC1,62%
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The bull run is coming to an end, with large funds choosing to take some profits, which is a normal phenomenon. Large funds are unlikely to reverse course and will not actively support the market, but this does not affect retail investors' ability to speculate and make money.
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