Sangbazi

Chuan Jianguo has definitely read "The Art of War." Before trading and analyzing the K-line, first study the art of war!

Is the Bitcoin chart red or green?

The downward trend of the US stock indices is quite clear. At least wait until the US stock indices reverse before buying the dip on the earlier coins!
Predicting the exact bottom is difficult, but it's unlikely to be the bottom of the US stock market at the moment!

The rise of Hype is not only a challenge for Binance specifically, but a challenge for all decentralized exchanges!
Currently, the bulk of profits for all decentralized exchanges comes from perpetual futures trading fees. When there are sufficient ecosystem applications and security guarantees, more traders will migrate to decentralized exchanges!
It's true that Binance is currently NO.1, but it's not unshakeable. The crypto space is all about constant change!

The funding rate for gold has turned negative, and gold bulls are gradually losing strength. Expect to short silver and be bearish on gold.
Tonight's US unemployment rate and non-farm payroll data are expected to mainly increase volatility for BTC, but the impact won't be too significant.

Paying fees for short-term gains is fun at first, but over time it becomes a gentle trap!
Some coins have a daily funding rate of over 6%, and once the longs and shorts are slightly heavily leveraged, a liquidation can happen!
Hedging with funding fees seems very good on the surface, as the contract prices of altcoins are basically controlled to match the spot prices!

$HYPE Actually, the selling pressure in the future is still quite significant. Compared to BTC and ETH, their trends are relatively resilient!
The simplest logic is to compete for centralized exchange users.

$BTC Hard to stabilize at 80,000

六條消息是懂王的
“沒有比我更懂畫K線的人”——尼古拉斯懂王

#美联储利率决议 The interest rate betting on Polymarket is currently 99% with no change for now. Anyway, it's about to be laid off, so adapt to the unchanged to handle all changes!

#美联储利率决议 The interest rate betting on Polymarket is currently 99% with no change for now. Anyway, it's about to be laid off, so adapt to the unchanged to handle all changes!

Aster and hype are often compared, but there's really no need to compare them. Choosing one definitely means hype$HYPE .

BTC surged to 96,000, driving meme coins to rise significantly as well. However, most meme coins are based on a single narrative to hype a wave, and most are short-lived—profit quickly, and then exit!
BTC's surge has created some bullish sentiment, but the resistance above remains strong!

Although the monthly K-line of Bitcoin shows green candles rising, overall the rebound faces too much resistance, and it is still in a bearish zone!
Reaching 95,000 already encounters significant resistance, and the Nasdaq is consolidating with volatility. It seems like it might hit a new high, but tonight's market is more likely to see a push up followed by a sharp drop!
$BTC $ETH

#BTC Bitcoin has gone back and forth between 85,000 and 94,000 a few times, and the upward momentum isn't that strong.
Some meme coins have rebounded even more significantly. Once Bitcoin stabilizes, look for meme opportunities.
Let's wait until tomorrow's unemployment rate and non-farm payroll data to see if Bitcoin can stabilize a bit.

The Bank of Japan's rate hike (end or weakening of ultra-loose monetary policy) typically has a bearish and structurally differentiated impact on the crypto sector. The core logic lies in yen arbitrage trading and global liquidity.
Japan's rate hike → Yen appreciation → Arbitrage funds flow back → Risk assets come under pressure → Short-term bearish sentiment in the crypto space (BTC remains resilient, altcoins weaken further)
1. Yen arbitrage trading is "disrupted"
For a long time: Borrow Yen (low interest rate) to invest in US stocks / cryptocurrencies / high-yield assets
Once Japan raises i