Rickawsb

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Lam Research Earnings Preview
The key point of the upcoming LRCX earnings report is actually about where LRCX stands in the AI cycle and how its changes will transmit through the entire industry chain.
LRCX is not a simple equipment company but a typical beneficiary of process complexity.
The changes brought by AI are not just increased computing power demand, but a rapid rise in the complexity of the chip manufacturing process itself: increased stacking layers in HBM, deeper TSV etching difficulty, the number of layers in 3D NAND approaching physical limits, and 2nm/GAA 3D structures.
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Is Kevin Wash's congressional hearing speech very hawkish?
"The independence of monetary policy is crucial. Decisions must be guided by national interests, based on rigorous analysis, thorough discussion, and clear judgment."
I think it's pretty standard; what else could he say?
If he doesn't state support for maintaining the Fed's independence, could he get Congress's approval?
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Insufficient training inference supplement
Inference insufficient proxy supplement
Proxy complex constraints supplement
Constraints troublesome everyone supplement
Therefore, accelerating computation is smart, and general computation is also
On the road to AGI, storage, GPU, and CPU will all be exhausted and severely in short supply
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harness, my favorite translation is
Constraint
So harness engineer
Should be called
Constraint Engineering
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BWX Technologies recently announced the acquisition of Precision Components Group. This is an expansion of production capacity—adding 500,000 square feet of factory space and more than 400 skilled workers—which, amid a cycle in which nuclear energy demand is being restarted, guarantees stable manufacturing delivery capabilities.
Nuclear energy is entering a new upswing cycle. The growth in electricity demand brought by AI, combined with policy-driven support for small modular reactors (SMRs) and a transition in energy mix, has once again put nuclear power in the position of a “stable baseloa
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My Claude Opus is 4.7.
Everyone should be using it now?
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The model is the application, computing power is the model, and the moment is eternity
—- Mythos release impressions
Over the past few years, through continuous iterations from prompt MCP, workflow skills to harness engineering, the market should have basically recognized that,
the model is the application.
Next, as model companies with sufficient computing power iterate at an increasingly rapid pace, the market will gradually realize that,
computing power is the model,
With the release of Mythos, and the leading models with computing power advantages continuously widening their le
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The model is the application, computing power is the model, and the moment is eternity
—- mythos release impressions
Over the past few years, from prompt MCP to workflow skill to the continuous iteration of harness engineering, the market should have already basically recognized that,
the model is the application.
Next, as model companies with multi-foot computing power iterate at an increasingly rapid pace, the market will slowly realize that,
computing power is the model,
with the release of methos, and with leading models that have computing power advantages continuously widenin
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Everything is code, whether software or hardware.
Even someone as powerful as Elon Musk cannot change the trend.
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Previously, the Russia-Ukraine conflict was instigated by the Democrats, who ignited the flames of war in Ukraine and created chaos. Then Trump was responsible for withdrawing troops, acting as a hands-off manager, letting allies foot the bill.
This time, Iran probably didn't have enough time, so Trump played both roles in the same show—he directly ignited the chaos and then stepped back, letting allies pay the price.
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The current situation in Iran is likely just the beginning of chaos for the world, and not even the end of the beginning.
As for the recent correction in the US stock market, it is very likely already the end, or at least the start of the end.
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Tianhe, Jeppesen, Flex—their performance over the past year-plus has surged significantly. Certainly, AI's major cycle has provided tailwinds, but Trump's tariffs have also played a substantial role. Without these tariffs, I don't need to tell you where AI-related EMS contract manufacturing would be now—you can probably guess.
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Qatar's Ras Laffan natural gas facility, which supplies approximately 20% of global LNG, was attacked. US LNG companies must be thrilled.
The pricing logic for natural gas is shifting. The US controls marginal supply—once Qatar faces problems, the market naturally turns to the US.
US and Greek LNG shipowners capture pricing power and liquidity premiums, while importers like Europe, Japan, and China bear the cost increases.
This isn't about energy shortage—it's about pricing power shifting.
And the impact won't stop at energy itself; it will continue transmitting: LNG → electricity prices → com
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In the report of the 18th National Congress, economic development was emphasized four times, while in the 19th it appeared once.
Conversely, the focus on people-centered development appeared once in the 18th report and four times in the 19th.
Can I interpret this as a shift from focusing on making money to focusing on people? 😂
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I think Trump will still be tacoing with Iran this time.
But there's a problem: all the targets of taco have been beheaded.
So who should he taco with? 🤣
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Trump and the mouthpiece of Silicon Valley, one of the financiers, Chamath, tweeted yesterday: Trump’s actions in Venezuela and Iran are aimed at preventing China from attacking Taiwan.
Elon Musk replied: The stage is already set.
The US is no longer pretending; will the East accept the challenge?
Occasionally, you’ll see “experts” on Twitter saying China can take Taiwan when the US is distracted.
Don’t just talk; there’s a market on Polymarket with a 1-to-10 payout. Place your bets directly and make big profits.
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If a person's company in the future can leverage AI to become a $10 billion unicorn and create value equivalent to what 1,000 or 10,000 people could generate, then a future individual social movement might also use AI to produce social impact that previously required 1,000 or 10,000 people.
And open-source models can help users build weapons...
From this perspective, is China's biggest rebel arms dealer Liang Wenfeng?🤣
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Today's Hot Take
The reason Hamei Lingerie was decapitated,
is because it failed to thoroughly implement our party's extremely far-sighted established policy directive of "going to the masses"🤣
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ybaser:
2026 GOGOGO 👊
The US strikes Iran, but the pain is felt in another country's heart.
The military operation in the Strait of Hormuz is for the long-term control of another strait.
It aims to weaken Iran and Venezuela, targeting that country's wartime oil supply and the de-dollarization of major commodities/trade hubs.
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