Polaris_xbt

Portfolio Allocation – Next 6 Months
BTC + stablecoins as a share of total crypto market cap is still high. This usually puts the market in a risk-off or early transition phase. These conditions are not ideal for aggressive positioning, but they are historically good for preparation and early exposure.
🟧CORE ALLOCATION
The majority of capital should remain in a defensive assets $BTC and Stables
Stablecoins are dry powder, not dead money.
This structure allows participation if conditions improve, while protecting capital if risk-off persists longer than expected.
🟧ALTCOINS When?
High BTC + st

Altcoins
Bouncing nicely so far from the macro support.
Also outperforming $BTC for once.
Should be the theme in the next bull run :)

$IMX
Lots of altcoins broke the trendline and are now trying to form a higher low.
This is one of the setups I am looking but you can find many similar.
Idea is to bid the local range low retest and swing much higher

$ETH
Not much will happen with altcoins until ETH
🔸Reclaims the 0.031
🔸Makes macro double bottom (more pain)

$ETHETH has a habit of revisiting the lowest untapped point of control before doing a V-reversal.We\'ve had one in April of 2025 when we tagged the bear market nPOC. now we just cleared another one.

We are at final support for altcoins.We could see some local range develop and I think it could give us a chance for some relief longs on altcoins.We just need $BTC to stop dying

$ETHETH Chart simplified.

$BTCLong scenario.Sweep of April lows and range reclaim = market long.

$ETHTom Lee has to be sweating right now.ETHBTC lost it\'s range after 3 months.I won\'t be trying to long eth until it drops further on BTC pair or simply reclaims the 0.0320 level

$BTC vs GoldHanging by a thread.Hard to be bearish at the range low but we really need to see some strength soon.

$SOLLong setup if we start closing above 128.If that happens these last 2 spikes will essentially be just htf sweeps.

The trendline that was set in 2021 is still holding 5 years later.We are still effectively in a downtrend against $BTC but at this point this is getting very close to the bottom. Whether we make one more spike down on #Altcoins or not is kind of irrelevant at this stage

$CHZWorld cup narrative is coming up soon.And as usual this should scam pump months before the actual event.

$BTC vs Gold14 year long trend is about to be tested.Either we start bouncing soon or the whole digital gold narrative starts to collapse.

$ETH / StablecoinsWhen you compare ETH marketcap with Stalbecoin marketcap you get a pretty clean view of where ETH is.Once again at support and once again bouncing. The only time we reached extremes were at bear market bottom and during Tariff war.

$BTC\n\nNot the most bullish looking chart at the moment.\nSwept the FVG and down immediately.\n\nThere is a flat open from jan 1st, and these usually gets taken out before the decisive move.\n\nWill look to bid upon sweep of 87.5 if the setup appears.