YieldWhisperer

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Does the options market signal a bear market? The probability of Bitcoin falling below $80,000 in June reaches 30%
Recent data indicates that the market is becoming increasingly cautious about Bitcoin's trend, with a 30% probability of dropping below $80,000 before June 26. Geopolitical tensions have intensified downward pressure, affecting market sentiment and causing Bitcoin's price to retreat to $91,000. Additionally, the options market shows a bearish tilt, and market risks are not fully reflected in the spot prices.
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BTC-2,54%
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DeepRabbitHolevip:
Greenland turmoil is so intense, the crypto world is also trembling... 30% chance to break 80,000, feels much more optimistic than before

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Geopolitics again, tariffs again... really just using our wallets as a chessboard to play with

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I don't quite understand options skewness, but anyway, it's a warning sign. Better not get too excited yet

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Fallen from 9.5 to 9.1, this pullback was a bit sudden. Won't it drop further...

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Only 19% chance to break 120,000? So the probability of rising is so small, why are people still stacking?

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Trump causing trouble, the crypto prices suffer along with it. Feels like the crypto world is always being hijacked by politics

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30% chance to break 80,000... is this probability high or low? I'm a bit unsure
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Meme coin platform launches investment fund, driven by the real demand in this market
The meme coin platform has established an independent investment department, launched a $3 million hackathon, and plans to invest $10 million to support 12 projects, reflecting the market's growing demand for technical talent. The platform seeks new opportunities within the Web3 ecosystem through investments and incubation, emphasizing that a good team and innovation are the keys.
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ShitcoinConnoisseurvip:
11.75 billion peak has all fallen back, now is the real time to play

Talent is more important than money, this is no lie, just worried it’s another guise to cut leeks

Each project has a 250,000 limit, what can this amount really do? It depends on how the team uses it

The track has shifted from burning money to burning brains, the industry still has hope
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HeyElsa (ELSA) is coming soon, an AI-driven new experience for DeFi interaction
HeyElsa is an AI-driven on-chain execution platform that allows users to perform cryptocurrency and DeFi operations using natural language. The project plans to launch ELSA/USDT trading on January 20, 2026, to simplify the trading process for users, suitable for both beginners and advanced traders, supporting liquidity and use case expansion.
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CounterIndicatorvip:
Natural language direct operation of DeFi? Sounds pretty good, just not sure if it will be that smooth in actual use.

HeyElsa is really hitting my sweet spot again, thinking every day about how to lower the user threshold.

If only complex operations could be simplified to this level, someone should have done it long ago.

Wait, January 20th? The withdrawal function still needs to wait? This pace is a bit...

AI+DeFi has been really hot lately, but how many will survive through the next quarter?

Using natural language for on-chain operations, sounds good, but if it gets rug pulled, what then...

It feels like if this thing really takes off, it could change the experience for quite a few people, but the premise is that it has to be truly user-friendly.
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Whale "full position short" unrealized loss of $56,000, BTC has already taken profit from ETH/SOL high leverage positions
A trader closed a short position of 52.4 BTC and made a profit of $12,000, but then shifted to high-leverage ETH, SOL, and HYPE, resulting in an unrealized loss of $56,000. Their trading style is frequent and irregular, mainly favoring bets on extreme volatility, which carries higher risk.
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BTC-2,54%
ETH-3,89%
SOL-3,67%
HYPE-4,84%
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GasFeeCriervip:
Take profit and stop, but this guy went all in with high leverage. A $56,000 loss is just tuition fees.
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On-chain whales with high leverage short PAXG and lose 470,000, the overall account still has an unrealized profit of $1.24 million
【Blockchain Rhythm】There is a large on-chain holder whose recent actions are indeed quite aggressive. Holding 2989.3 PAXG tokens (equivalent to $14.02 million), they directly used 5x leverage to short, with a position entry cost of $4,533 per token. As a result, they are now showing a paper loss of $477,000.
But this guy clearly isn't just shorting gold. The account also has high-leverage short positions in BTC and a bunch of altcoins, which are currently profitable, with the entire account showing an unrealized gain of $1.245 million. It seems they are betting on a decline in commodities and cryptocurrencies, but the bet on gold seems to have some issues.
PAXG1,19%
BTC-2,54%
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GasFeeCryervip:
Gold hit a snag, but the overall account still made a profit, which is why I dare to play like this... However, using 5x leverage to short PAXG is indeed a bit thrilling.
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NPM Meme Coin reaches a $6.9 million market cap in 4 hours, a celebration for the programmer community or just a harvest of new investors?
The Meme token NPM performed well after launch, reaching a market cap of $6.9 million in a short period, with a trading volume exceeding $6.4 million. The token pays tribute to the package manager NPM founder Isaac Z. Schlueter, but caution is advised due to its high volatility and lack of practical application scenarios.
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MetaverseVagabondvip:
Looking at this wave of NPM, are programmers really being played or do they genuinely believe in it? 6.9 million in 4 hours is a bit crazy.

It's another meme driven by hype and storytelling. Let's see how long it can last.

If Isaac knew he was being used like this, I wonder what he would feel.

Really, it’s always like this—rising fast and dying just as quickly. The leeks (retail investors) just can't keep up.

Is the traffic in the programmer community really that valuable? It feels like everyone has become numb to being exploited.
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Can DeFi protocols say goodbye to "code is law"? Is immutability verification really the ultimate security silver bullet?
DeFi security issues have once again sparked discussions. Daejun Park of a16z Crypto proposed that security standards should be hardcoded into law to prevent hackers from exploiting code vulnerabilities. However, in reality, hackers have exploited vulnerabilities to steal large amounts of assets, and the involvement of AI has posed challenges for auditing. Additionally, immutability checks increase gas costs, which may affect user experience. Therefore, DeFi security still needs to explore ways to balance protection, user experience, and economic benefits.
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DEFI-3,36%
BAL-2,06%
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DeFiGraylingvip:
Code is law, it should have been abolished long ago, and this time Park finally said it out loud. Immutability checks sound great in theory, but what about in practice? $649 million speaks, brother.
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Whale allocates large funds to hold BTC and ETH: invests $3 million to realize nearly $2 million in unrealized gains
A major trader on the HyperLiquid platform recently opened short positions on Bitcoin and Ethereum with high leverage, with a notional value close to $200 million and floating profits of $1.96 million. He also closed a position on XMR with a profit of $221,000, demonstrating a cautious trading strategy.
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BTC-2,54%
ETH-3,89%
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CrossChainBreathervip:
Wow, 40x leverage short on BTC. This guy is really bold, with unrealized gains approaching 2 million... But the risk is real, a sudden surge could wipe out everything.
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Japan's 40-year government bond yield breaks 4%, global liquidity faces a turning point
【Chain Wen】Japan's 40-year government bond yield soars by 5.5 basis points, breaking through the 4% threshold for the first time. This turning point in global liquidity is worth noting—when long-term interest rates continue to rise, it often reshapes the allocation logic of commodities and high-volatility assets, and the risk appetite in the crypto market will also adjust accordingly.
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FallingLeafvip:
Japanese government bonds are at 4%. Something's going to happen now. Will the crypto market drop?
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Leading exchange acquires prediction market team to accelerate the deployment of the "All-in-One Platform"
A leading compliant exchange acquires the prediction market team The Clearing Company, aiming to strengthen its prediction market capabilities and attract users to participate in real-world event trading. Although the future growth of prediction markets depends on user activity and market depth, the ongoing investment by major exchanges in this area demonstrates its significance.
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Ser_Liquidatedvip:
The prediction market is back. Will it survive this time?
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After 6 months of silence, a major exchange associated whale once again aggressively bought SHIB, accumulating 15.18 billion tokens.
A major whale wallet associated with a leading exchange has re-entered the market, purchasing 15.18 billion Shiba Inu (SHIB), bringing the total holdings to 61.84 billion tokens, making it a major asset. This operation was carried out at a market low point, reflecting confidence in SHIB's prospects.
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SHIB-0,24%
BNB-1,7%
ETH-3,89%
FET-2,64%
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FloorSweepervip:
Wow, this whale is really crazy. When it was falling, it still dared to go all-in on SHIB. The faith level is maxed out.
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New Trends in AI Hardware: See You in the Second Half of Next Year?
Sources reveal that a leading AI company plans to launch its self-developed hardware in the second half of 2026. The product features a simple design without a screen, and details are not yet clear. This move could have a significant impact on the AI hardware industry.
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SnapshotLaborervip:
Will we have to wait until 2026? Will we still be alive by then? Haha
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Bitcoin CPG indicator hits a new low this year, U.S. selling pressure intensifies, technical analysis suggests risk
Recently, during the US stock market holiday, major American investors accelerated their sell-offs, and the Bitcoin market also showed signs of pressure, with the spread indicator dropping to its lowest point this year. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has formed an ascending wedge pattern, and history shows that this pattern carries a risk of decline. If the support level breaks, the price could fall to $80,000. The next few days require close attention to this technical level.
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BTC-2,54%
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AirdropSweaterFanvip:
Americans are starting to unload again, and this CPG indicator is really impressive. Can 80,000 really hold? It feels uncertain.
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Tokenized gold XAU₮ welcomes new application scenarios in the Mantle ecosystem
A certain exchange announced that it will support deposit and withdrawal functions for XAU₮ (Tether Gold) on the Mantle network, allowing users to trade tokenized gold more conveniently. XAU₮ is backed by real gold, and Mantle's Layer-2 solution reduces transaction costs and improves efficiency. Users can also lend, borrow, and generate yields within DeFi protocols, enhancing the liquidity and financial applications of tokenized gold.
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XAUT1,11%
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failed_dev_successful_apevip:
Can gold be tokenized on the chain and generate interest? This is the real gameplay; main chain fees are really outrageous.
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Hong Kong Association recommends CARF implementation: relax certain rules, clarify penalty caps to protect compliant institutions
The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Professionals Association submitted comments on the crypto asset reporting framework, supporting the OECD's CARF introduction and mandatory registration for crypto service providers, but proposed reducing regulatory requirements for non-reporting entities, strengthening personal data protection, and other suggestions. It also warned that the current penalty policies could lead to a surge in compliance costs and called on the government to set a cap on fines.
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NoStopLossNutvip:
Oh no, the no-limit fine setup is really outrageous. Small institutions are being driven to bankruptcy.

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Basically, they want to regulate but not push people to the brink. Hong Kong's move is somewhat strategic.

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The explosion in compliance costs hits the nail on the head. Not many small exchanges can withstand this kind of combined pressure.

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Strengthening data protection is still hard to see through; maybe it's just a paper tiger.

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It seems the Hong Kong association is quite rational. They can't just wipe out the entire industry right from the start.

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Limits, safeguard mechanisms, sound good, but I'm just worried that the implementation will be another story.
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Fenbushi Capital allegedly unlocks and releases 7,798 ETH into mainstream exchanges
【Blockchain Rhythms】On-chain data tracking shows that a wallet address associated with Fenbushi Capital, after holding ETH staking for about two years, recently transferred 7,798 ETH to a major exchange, worth approximately $25 million. This large transaction has attracted market attention—after all, shifting from long-term staking to exchange inflows often indicates a significant change in holding strategy. For investors monitoring institutional fund movements, such whale-level withdrawal behavior is usually worth noting, as it may reflect a new judgment by institutions on the market rhythm.
ETH-3,89%
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FloorPriceWatchervip:
25 million USD invested in the exchange, is this to unload or to bottom fish?
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Whale buys the dip of GAS at $210,000 but gets trapped, with unrealized losses of nearly $170,000
【Blockchain Rhythm】 Interestingly, a major data tracking platform detected a large holder operation. Two days ago, when GAS's market cap dropped below $1000, a whale impulsively投入了$211,000, planning to buy low. What happened next? The price didn't rebound as expected; instead, it continued to decline. As of January 19, GAS's market cap has fallen to $1.57 million, and this investor's bottom-fishing funds have already unrealized losses of nearly $170,000. This is the market—sometimes when the timing is right on the numbers, the trend moves in the opposite direction. If even major holders are affected this way, it’s easy to imagine how difficult it is for ordinary investors in this wave of行情.
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FlashLoanLordvip:
Damn, investing 210,000 and immediately losing 170,000, this whale is really bold.

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Diving in during the middle of the climb, this is the crypto world haha.

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GAS this time is really a dead end, big players are all caught in the trap.

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Feels like no one can get the rhythm right now, everything is just guesswork.

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That's why I only dare to play with small amounts, I don't have the guts for 210,000.

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Big players are so miserable, what’s the point for ordinary people to play? Just lie flat and give up.

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Timing, to put it simply, is just gambling luck, no one is an exception.
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$875 million liquidation in 24 hours! Bitcoin long positions wiped out, whales' single order exceeds $25 million
In the past 24 hours, the cryptocurrency market experienced intense volatility, with total liquidation amounts reaching $875 million, mostly from long positions. The liquidation of long positions in Bitcoin and Ethereum was particularly severe, with 249,388 users involved in forced liquidations, and the largest single liquidation reaching $25.83 million.
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BTC-2,54%
ETH-3,89%
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ShibaMillionairen'tvip:
Long positions slaughtered, all the longs are dead
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BSC Chain Meme Coin "1" Surge Record: How a $2,200 Transaction Turned into $130,000?
Recently, the Meme coin "1" on the BSC chain has gained attention. The holding address purchased $2,200 worth when the market cap was $48,200, and then sold part when the market cap rose to $68,000, currently with an unrealized profit of $130,000. Despite the high popularity, Meme coins are highly volatile, and risks should be approached with caution.
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MEME31,64%
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FudVaccinatorvip:
Early buyers are always the winners. Now, entering the market to buy in carries too much risk.
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153 million USDT mysteriously flows into exchanges, are the whales moving again?
【BitPush】On January 19th at 14:44, on-chain data tracking organization Coinglass recorded a large fund movement—153 million USDT transferred from an unknown wallet to a major exchange. This transfer may indicate that market whales are adjusting their holdings strategy. Whether preparing to enter the market or cash out, such million-level USDT inflows usually attract the attention of traders.
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ExpectationFarmervip:
153 million USDT, that's quite impressive. This time, is the whale trying to bottom out or run away? We'll have to watch the subsequent movements.
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