DeFiWarhol

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Why does open interest matter for prediction markets?
It's not about volume.
It's about the money locked behind unresolved bets.
This shows conviction.
But I wouldn't read this as a bullish signal or anything because most of this OI is concentrated in a few big themes:
→ Sports
→ Politics
→ Macro
Once attention cools down in those categories (and it will) OI will draw down.
That's not necessarily a bad thing.
Still cool to see PMs pumping though.
What's your conviction?

You guys can’t be serious, right?
The fact this market even exists tells you where CT is at.
We get farmed by 9-figure exploits every few months, so now people want to trade the next one too?
Count me in fam.

People are leaving DeFi for a reason.
The @KelpDAO exploit didn't touch Aave smart contracts directly, but it still triggered freezes, bad debt fears, and withdrawals.
And on top of that, I don't think ~13% stablecoin APY is bullish tbh.
→ people pulled money out
→ borrowing stayed high
→ less liquidity left
→ higher rates to attract deposits
That's why the yield spike looks more like stress than strength imo.

No one seems interested in learning where AI agents get their data from.
IMO, it's a problem when the data source is unverifiable for agents that move money.
There are already cases where agents acted on false data that brought real damages:
→ Trading bots were wiped mid-execution because their data went stale
→ Autonomous research agents faking their own results
There's barely any infrastructure built for this yet, but some protocols are aiming in the right direction.
For example, @WalrusProtocol lets you prove what data an agent used and that it hadn't been modified at the time of execution.

Meanwhile on Aave :(

So you're telling me that boomers been printing in the stock market since 2010?

The "I'm a full stack engineer"
starter pack

Woke up to rsETH hack, started googling.
Lots of people are accusing Kelp of negligence.
Then I came across @stacy_muur's newly posted research re the exploit, and so far this is the most detailed piece on CT.
TL;DR on what actually happened ↓
~116,500 rsETH (~$292M) was drained from the bridge.
But this was NOT:
– a mint exploit
– not a smart contract bug
– not reentrancy
This is important.
What happened was a fake cross-chain message that Ethereum accepted as real.
Think of it like this:
Ethereum received a message saying
“hey, release funds – they were burned on the other chain”
Except… the

According to @Grayscale, tokenized assets could grow 1000x by 2030.
@BNBCHAIN looks ready to handle that volume.

Polymarket has a market on which stablecoins will depeg before 2027.
current odds of a depeg:
→ USD1: 27% (newest, least tested)
→ USDTb: 26%
→ USD0: 24%
→ USDS: 18%
→ USDe: 16%
→ USDC: 3% (if this breaks for 24hrs straight, we have bigger problems)
Worth knowing: "depeg" here means staying below 98 cents for a full 24 hours straight. A quick flash crash that bounces back doesn't count.