DeFiAlchemist

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BNB's performance this week is still quite interesting. Based on data from January 21, the price is around $882.03, with a 24-hour decline of 4.99%, and a weekly drop of about 6.9%. Let's review the process—after reaching a high of $959 earlier this week, it started to pull back. After the 19th, as the overall market weakened, it directly broke through the key support level of $930.
From a technical perspective, short-term support is in the $870-$890 range, with resistance at $930-$950. The RSI indicator is currently neutral to slightly bearish, indicating that downward momentum is still prese
BNB-5,47%
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The market's sharp decline this week has indeed been quite intense, wiping out all of last week's gains in just three days. The weekly rebound that initially looked promising now seems to have stalled, and the current K-line structure has been broken, which could significantly reduce the strength of any future rebounds. Currently, the price is approaching an important weekly support level. If it breaks below this, the subsequent trend will need to be approached with caution.
From an operational perspective, friends holding positions in their accounts should stay calm and avoid rushing to add m
BTC-3,52%
ETH-6,81%
ZEC-3,41%
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GasFeeLadyvip:
ngl watching this bleed out hit different when you've been timing entries wrong... that 87500-88000 support better hold or i'm gonna need to calculate my liquidation gwei like some kind of on-chain fortune teller fr
Bitcoin's recent market trend has indeed been unfriendly. From a technical perspective, it has already lost the key support level, and the downward pressure is significant. If the decline continues, 84,500 will be the first line of defense; further down, it will depend on whether 80,000 can hold. There will definitely be opportunities for a rebound. On the four-hour chart, there should be a correction, and a rebound to 91,000 would be considered good.
My own strategy is as follows — I have already added more than 10,000 positions in batches on the spot side, and I have also built a long positi
BTC-3,52%
IP6,63%
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LiquidityWizardvip:
nah hold up, the 84.5k floor thesis is statistically significant but you're underestimating volatility clusters here... ip's 6k swing actually proves my point about fat tails, not yours tbh
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Give the core judgment: A 70%–80% deep bear market for Bitcoin is very unlikely.
Looking at Bitcoin’s more than ten-year trend on a long-term chart reveals an counterintuitive phenomenon—actual occurrences of 70%–80% declines are relatively rare, and each time they happen, they can be traced back to clear structural reasons. This is not a natural outcome of "bad market conditions" or "overly rapid gains," but rather a systemic deleveraging triggered when a financial system proves unsustainable.
Based on this logic, the probability of Bitcoin experiencing another systemic bear market of 70%–80%
BTC-3,52%
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ApeEscapeArtistvip:
Institutions are so heavily accumulating, indeed a 70% difficulty upgrade

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To put it simply, as long as there is no systemic collapse, don’t overthink about zeroing out

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A 30-50% retracement is acceptable, but 70%? The current holders are different now

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Repeated oscillations and turnover? That’s the market behavior I dislike the most, it’s exhausting

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The problem is good, but the key is when the credit crisis will come

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Institutions piling into this thing really support the market, admit it

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Not optimistic, but there’s no reason to be pessimistic; the logic holds

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A 30% drop? Then I’ll have to add to my position, haha
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The most explosive news in the crypto circle these days belongs to the Federal Reserve. The key figure of the super hawkish camp suddenly hinted that there might be a significant rate cut by 2026. It sounds like great news, but is it really that simple? Let’s take a closer look.
**Why is a rate cut bullish for crypto assets?**
The essence of a rate cut is simple: money becomes cheaper, and market liquidity is abundant. No one is interested in fixed deposits anymore; where do idle funds go? Stocks, futures, Bitcoin, Ethereum—these high-volatility assets become hot favorites. Historical patterns
BTC-3,52%
ETH-6,81%
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ForumLurkervip:
Good news turning into bad news—how many times has this trick been played? Big players' early positioning always beats us by half a beat.
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#特朗普向欧洲实施新一轮关税措施 Wall Street's "Double Persona": Why does JPMorgan criticize Bitcoin but also rush to create on-chain USD?
On one hand, they publicly declare Bitcoin as a "scam," and then quietly launch their own JPM Coin—that's a brilliant move. When it comes to hypocrisy, traditional financial institutions are the masters.
Think about it: back in the day, the carriage industry loudly condemned cars as "monsters," but were they really afraid of cars? No. They feared that the entire rule system would be rewritten. The same goes for JPMorgan; what they truly fear isn't a string of code called B
BTC-3,52%
SOL-4,7%
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quietly_stakingvip:
That's right, JPM Coin is just the final struggle of traditional finance.
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#数字资产市场动态 To be honest, I don't really care which coins will experience a crash. I just want to understand one principle — in a volatile market, doubling your investment to break even with small trades is the basic strategy. There was a post before that explained this very thoroughly, so I won't go into detail here. No one can be a god; if someone were truly a god, they wouldn't need to fight for these opportunities. My idea is simple: use small money to gamble on bigger potential, and amplify gains through profit accumulation. Repeat this process, and that's it. This isn't a secret; it's the
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BlockchainBrokenPromisevip:
That's right, it's the small amounts that are repeatedly traded; mindset is the key.

It's a bit illusory—immortals have long since given up, who would still be messing around here?

Doubling your investment to break even sounds easy, but in reality, you still need to go through a few爆 (explosions).

Only those with a steady mindset can make it to the end, I agree with that.

It's really about not being greedy, accumulating slowly—this is more important than anything else.

Exactly, the risk is there; if you have to lose, just lose. Repetition is the way to go.
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This morning's market trend continues to be validated by the market movement. The trend is moving downward as expected, and the bears are becoming more solid. The support levels below are being broken one after another, and it is basically confirmed that the market is in a breakdown and downward trend. Traders should be cautious; the key bottom support zones that were repeatedly emphasized before are now under severe test. Whether these levels can hold will directly determine the subsequent market direction.
Looking at the four-hour chart, Bitcoin's downward momentum is still continuously rele
BTC-3,52%
ETH-6,81%
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QuietlyStakingvip:
It dropped again, support levels breaking one by one, this time I really have to admit defeat.

The bears are so fierce, trying to catch the bottom is just asking for death.

I didn't sleep well last night, and as soon as dawn broke, it hit a new low, I can't hold on.

To be honest, ETH has been pretty miserable this wave, even the Bollinger Bands can't hold up.

Rebounds are followed by crashes, it sounds simple but it's exhausting to act on, let's wait for the signals.

This rhythm is dictated by the bears, so let's just follow along.

Breaking down and moving lower is just like this, nothing to see, accept the loss and continue.

The Bollinger Bands are all green, I think this market still has to fall.

Go with the trend, everyone, don't think about catching the bottom for a turnaround.
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Another sleepless night. Having been away from home for too long, my biological clock has long been disrupted, and the recent crypto market is the same—its ups and downs are unpredictable. Someone asked me if I still believe in a bull market. From buying the bottom at $28,000 in 2023 to now planning to exit at the top, as someone who has experienced this market firsthand, I really should share my thoughts.
Recently, I took a trip to Malaysia and wandered around Genting Highlands. In the foggy resort, I surprisingly didn’t place a single bet, which would have been unthinkable before. This remin
BTC-3,52%
ETH-6,81%
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ImpermanentPhobiavip:
Bought in at 28,000 and haven't sold yet. My mental resilience is really top-notch. I would have been shaken out long ago, haha.
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From the perspective of the market maker, the period around the Spring Festival is the most popular—this is when a wave of induced buying is most likely. Instead of slowly oscillating, it's better to directly push the price up so participants can profit. The problem is that those who were trapped at the high of 3800 a few months ago haven't exited yet, so this support level must be protected.
After several months of repeated oscillations, the cost basis for retail investors has been pushed to the 3300-3400 range, and there might even be another test at 3450. But the question here is—do we have
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IntrovertMetaversevip:
The market maker's move this time is old-fashioned; 3300-3400 is just a false alarm, the real drop is still ahead.
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I initially paid attention to Dusk, and it’s quite interesting—it's not about following market hype, but rather its consistent attitude on the path of privacy finance that attracted me. There are many projects shouting "privacy chain" on the market, but when it comes to actual use, common issues are poor user experience or lagging ecosystem development. I spent some time actually engaging with and operating the platform to gradually understand the true nature of this project.
Intuitively, the upgraded Dusk network has taken a significant step forward in efficiency. Transaction speeds have incr
DUSK8,9%
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TokenEconomistvip:
actually, let me break this down—zero-knowledge proofs are mathematically elegant but here's the thing: ceteris paribus, privacy chains only succeed if adoption curves actually bend upward, and dusk's been... moving slow? in traditional economics we'd call that a liquidity trap, but tbh the execution beats the hype which is refreshing ngl
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#数字资产市场动态 850 nearby this wave of market movement, I finally bet right once🚀 but this also made me realize a painful truth — my subjective judgment is often a trap. Clearly thinking the bottom is in, but in the end, it all gets smashed. Sometimes, thinking in reverse is much more reliable😅
Watching the trends of $BNB and $DOGE recently, I have a deeper understanding of what "cognition is a shackle" means. Those seemingly certain support levels in the market, in the end, break just like that. Instead of trusting your intuition, it's better to respect the data and the big trend.
What do you al
BNB-5,47%
DOGE-1,81%
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In the crypto market, beginners often fall into a misconception: obsessing over whether to choose spot trading or futures trading, as if picking the right track can instantly turn their fortunes around. In reality, this question itself warrants a reevaluation.
The trading tools themselves are neither good nor bad; the key lies in the user's operational logic. A knife in a chef's hand can prepare delicious food, but in someone else's hand, it might do more harm than good. Many traders blame tool risks for their losses, but rarely reflect on how reckless their decision-making process truly is.
*
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ETH-6,81%
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orphaned_blockvip:
That's right, ultimately it's a human issue, not a tool issue.
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Observing DUSK's recent trend, the funding rate has been continuously declining. Does this mean that short positions have been mostly closed? From the market perspective, although this decline looks fierce, the enthusiasm for short betting is clearly insufficient, and it seems more like the market makers are creating panic to absorb liquidity.
From a technical standpoint, 0.35 is the next key resistance level to watch. Only a breakthrough here would truly reverse the situation. Meanwhile, 0.2 forms a strong trend support. Once this level is touched, a rebound back to around 0.3 is highly proba
DUSK8,9%
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LiquidityHuntervip:
The fee rate is decreasing but the trading volume is insufficient. I've seen this trick too many times; it's just wearing people down. If it really hits 0.2, I think the rebound probability is quite high, but the key still depends on when the capital situation truly recovers.
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#Strategy加仓BTC Recent shorting $ETH has been quite profitable, and the account has gained a lot. It feels like the market heat will pick up again after the Spring Festival, and many people are starting to consider bottom-fishing opportunities for Ethereum.
The current price is around 3029, so you might consider a light position to test the waters with a long position. The key support level to watch closely is the 2930 range—if it holds, the probability of a rebound is higher.
By the way, recent policy fluctuations have indeed been somewhat frequent. During such times, it's crucial to follow
BTC-3,52%
ETH-6,81%
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LiquidationWatchervip:
Making a profit from shorting and then immediately going long—this buy and sell is a classic move haha
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ARK this round of correction has exposed an interesting phenomenon—the on-chain data depicting the long-short landscape is quite distorted.
The number of bullish whales has a clear advantage (69 vs. 42), and their positions are also larger. But this is not good news. Their average entry price is 0.2717, while the current price is 0.2555, so each position is in the red zone. Although they haven't realized losses on paper yet, that's because their position sizes are supporting them; the pressure is actually significant.
The bears are much more comfortable. Although their entry price is higher (0
ARK-3,1%
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PortfolioAlertvip:
It's the same old trick again, retail investors are just destined to get wiped out.
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#比特币2026年行情展望 Today's third position just closed. Did everyone keep up with the rhythm?
Honestly, the short-term trading during this period has been quite methodical. I caught several small waves in the morning with clear thinking and strong execution. The key was this evening's move—fans opened short positions on $ETH according to the strategy, took the hit at 3082, and only exited at 3046.
This single trade netted 36 points, with the entry fee and slippage fully accounted for, leaving a pure profit of 3600 dollars.
Short-term trading requires daily agility, combining sharp thinking with sol
ETH-6,81%
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DaoGovernanceOfficervip:
ngl, the empirical data on retail trader profitability suggests this narrative doesn't quite hold up... what's the actual win rate here?
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Right now, the Web3 community is buzzing with "AI + Blockchain," but if you look closely, you'll find that most projects are just putting on a different coat. They use AI as a gimmick and slap it onto existing systems without real technical support at the core, let alone practical application scenarios. Only a few chains truly understand that to do AI right, you need to start considering it from the moment of architecture design.
Vanar Chain is such an example. This chain is designed from scratch specifically for AI, not an after-the-fact retrofit like some others. It integrates four core capa
VANRY-1,6%
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ser_ngmivip:
Another "Designing AI from Scratch," I've heard it too many times... But this time, myNeutron and Kayon do have something; finally, someone is seriously working on the technology.

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Sounds good, but wait, can it really be used or is it just a PPT?

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Being welded into the architecture sounds impressive, but can it handle high traffic when actually running? That's the real question.

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Alright, considering that myNeutron has solved AI forgetfulness, it's somewhat interesting.

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Both Vanar and Flows, it feels like every week there's a chain promoting itself as "truly AI-native"... but I agree with making black-box decisions transparent.

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Stop bragging, just ask—do you have real daily active user data? That's the truth.

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Haha, reminds me of a project last time that also said it would "weld" features, and three months later, they were still fixing bugs. Is this time different?

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Decentralized semantic memory sounds cool, but running it in practice would probably be prohibitively expensive...

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Storytelling vs doing? Well, this is hinting at other projects again, but myNeutron definitely didn't boast; the demo is visible.
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#数字资产市场动态 $NIGHT This wave looks promising. After nearly a month of pullback and consolidation, it has finally stabilized in recent days. Looking at the daily chart, the pattern is quite good—volume is steady, without that fake fat feeling. At this position, it's indeed worth considering placing an order. When the market is repeatedly testing the bottom, it's often a good time to lay low and wait.
NIGHT4,26%
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PaperHandsCriminalvip:
Ha, coming to trap the bottom again? I was so sure last time that I got smashed through directly.

Hold steady? I think it's just temporary, don't be fooled.

The trading volume is lukewarm... I've heard that too many times, and what happened?

Anyway, I don't dare to chase anymore, I've already cut my losses and am watching cautiously.

What a pretty pattern, but it'll drop again later.
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Assets are not created out of thin air. They are all derived from existing things.
You break down elements like cash flow, ownership, priority, and various conditions one by one, and then recombine them. It sounds complicated, but it's just about revealing the hidden structure.
Many times, the market perceives a financial product as particularly complex and difficult to understand because these structural elements are not explicitly expressed. Once each component of the asset is visualized, it becomes much clearer. This is the process of asset evolution — from obscurity to transparency, from h
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GasOptimizervip:
Basically, it's like LEGO bricks for financial engineering—disassembly and reassembly. 99% of the market's "complexity anxiety" actually stems from information asymmetry. Listing each variable in a table makes the arbitrage opportunities obvious.
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