CryptoAlice

#USGovernmentShutdownRisk
The US federal government is experiencing a partial and short-term shutdown. This began at midnight (00:01 ET, January 31, 2026) due to Congress's inability to finalize a budget/funding agreement, resulting in some federal agencies running out of funds. However:
This is not an action that Trump declared as a "government shutdown."
Trump himself reached an agreement with Senate Democrats (including Chuck Schumer), and the Senate approved this package Friday night.
The agreement funds most federal agencies until September, while funding the Department of Homeland Security (DHS - Immigration, ICE, etc.) for only two weeks (until February 13). This extension was granted for reform talks following the killing of two US citizens by ICE agents in Minnesota. The House of Representatives has not yet voted because it is in recess, and a vote is expected no earlier than Monday (February 2). If Trump signs the agreement, the shutdown will largely end.
The effects will be limited over the weekend (most federal employees are not working anyway), will be felt starting Monday, but are expected to be short-lived. Trump's stance: In statements to Truth Social, he said he wanted to avoid a shutdown and was working for a "bipartisan" agreement. He used phrases like "another long shutdown will slow the country down" and sought compromise rather than blaming the Democrats. Not to be confused with the previous shutdown: there was a record 43-day shutdown between October and November 2025 (Trump blamed the Democrats), but that wasn't something Trump said "I'm shutting down"; it was a congressional disagreement that Trump eventually ended by signing. Trump isn't shutting down the government; rather, he's pushing for it to reopen, but the process goes through Congress. The short, partial shutdown has technically begun but seems likely to end quickly.

#USGovernmentShutdownRisk
Midnight Oil in the Capital: Is the US on the Verge of a "Shutdown" Again?
The United States has entered 2026 with a sense of political déjà vu. While the smoke from one of the longest government shutdowns in history has barely cleared, the corridors of Washington are echoing with the footsteps of a new budget crisis. #USGovernmentShutdownRisk is not just a hashtag; it represents sleepless nights for global markets, federal employees, and the American bureaucracy.
The Fuse: Minneapolis Events and the DHS Deadlock
Developments at the end of January 2026 transformed budget negotiations from a technical debate into an ideological showdown. The tragic events in Minneapolis, involving federal immigration agents and resulting in the deaths of two civilians, upset the balance in Congress.
The Democrats' Ultimatum: The Democratic wing in the Senate announced they would not sign off without strict oversight and restrictions on immigration operations within the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) budget.
The Republican Stance: On the House of Representatives side, there is a firm stand against cutting national security spending.
What Happened on the Night of January 31st?
As the calendar hit Saturday, January 31st, the US federal government officially entered a partial shutdown. The White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) instructed federal agencies to implement "orderly shutdown procedures." This situation risks affecting 75% of federal operations across a wide range, from defense to transportation, health to education.
Market Echoes and Prediction Markets
The economic world is watching this political gridlock with bated breath. On prediction platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, the probability of a shutdown soared above 75% in recent days. Investors are on high alert for volatility, especially in the stocks of defense industry firms and tech companies doing business with the government.
Critical Date: Monday, February 2nd
While the current landscape looks like a "controlled crisis," the real knot will be untied when the House of Representatives reconvenes on Monday. If the package agreed upon by the Senate, which offers a two-week temporary solution for the DHS, passes the House, the government will breathe a sigh of relief. However, a failed vote could mean federal employees going without pay and the paralysis of critical sectors, from air traffic to customs services.
Conclusion
US politics is once again testing the strategy of "dancing on the edge of the cliff." This process, under the #USGovernmentShutdownRisk heading, is not just a budget matter; it is a test that will determine the political climate of 2026 and the crisis-management capacity of administrations.

#VanEckLaunchesAVAXSpotETF
recent news has once again proven that the bridges between traditional finance and cryptocurrencies continue to strengthen. The launch of a spot Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) for Avalanche (AVAX) by VanEck, a leading name in the crypto asset management world, holds transformative potential for both the AVAX ecosystem and the broader crypto market.
​Why Did VanEck Choose AVAX?
​Given that VanEck has previously offered similar products for giants like Bitcoin and Ethereum, its pivot toward AVAX shows this was no coincidence. This choice is closely linked to several key advantages offered by the Avalanche blockchain:
​High Performance and Scalability: Avalanche stands out with its rapid transaction times and low costs. Its ability to process thousands of transactions per second (TPS) and its Subnet architecture provide an ideal foundation for enterprise-level applications. An institution like VanEck aims to offer its investors an asset with a technologically sound infrastructure.
​Potential for Institutional Adoption: Partnerships between Avalanche and giants like JPMorgan and Amazon showcase the platform's potential for institutional uptake. Such collaborations likely contributed to VanEck viewing AVAX as a prime candidate for the "blockchain of the future."
​A Flourishing Ecosystem: Avalanche boasts a rapidly growing ecosystem across various fields, including DeFi (decentralized finance), NFTs, and gaming. This diversity offers investors exposure to multiple sectors.
​The Meaning and Expected Impacts of a Spot ETF
​A spot ETF allows investors to gain exposure to AVAX's price movements through the stock market without having to purchase AVAX directly. The potential impacts of this include:
​Institutional Capital Inflow: Traditional financial institutions and large-scale investors may remain cautious about direct crypto purchases due to regulations and custody challenges. Spot ETFs remove these barriers, potentially opening the door for billions of dollars in new capital to flow into AVAX.
​Increased Liquidity and Price Stability: The influx of new capital can enhance liquidity in the AVAX market and contribute to a more stable price trend by reducing volatility.
​Legitimacy and Mainstream Adoption: The issuance of an ETF for AVAX by a reputable financial firm like VanEck boosts the cryptocurrency's legitimacy and acceptance in the mainstream financial world. This serves as a confidence builder for retail investors as well.
​Heightened Competition: The success of an AVAX spot ETF could pave the way for similar products for other altcoins, intensifying competition in the crypto ETF market. Similar expectations may arise for other Layer-1 blockchains like Solana (SOL) and Cardano (ADA).
​Analysis: Short and Long-Term Outlook
​In the Short Term: It is natural to observe some price volatility in AVAX following the announcement. However, the real impact will be determined by how much capital flows into the ETF and how sustainable that flow remains. General market conditions (the trajectory of Bitcoin, macroeconomic factors) will also influence short-term price movements.
​In the Long Term: A spot ETF brings AVAX to a much wider audience of investors and acts as a powerful catalyst for ecosystem growth. As institutional adaptation increases and blockchain technology becomes more widespread, it could be a significant factor in AVAX’s long-term valuation. This means Avalanche will be on the radar not just for tech enthusiasts, but also for conservative portfolio managers.
​Conclusion
​VanEck’s launch of the AVAX spot ETF is a new milestone in Avalanche’s journey. This step is critical for solidifying the place of cryptocurrencies in the future financial system. Such developments, which open the doors of traditional finance to crypto, strengthen the potential for digital assets to transition from "niche" investment tools to "mainstream" asset classes.

thanks a lot my baby 🤍#
#VanEckLaunchesAVAXSpotETF

Congratulations my dear friend! I wish you continued success 🌸🤍