TransplantingRiceSeedl

#Bitcoin opened the new weekly candle with strong bullish momentum, pushing price higher into a critical resistance zone around $90,000. This level is acting as a major decision point for the market.
If buyers can sustain the pressure and secure a clean break and weekly close above $90,000, it would likely confirm renewed strength and open the door for a continuation toward higher price targets. However, failure to reclaim this level could lead to short-term consolidation or a healthy pullback before the next major move. $BTC $BTC

#BREAKING
Iran Plans to Accept Cryptocurrency for Weapon Transactions to Evade Sanctions
#Bitcoin $BTC

#数字资产动态追踪 Happy New Year everyone, wishing you steady growth and doubled profits in 2026!💪
$BTC recent market movements have indeed been a bit annoying—bulls and bears pulling back and forth, easy to get caught off guard. The key is to stick to risk management principles and avoid exposing positions to black swan risks.
From the four-hour chart, the price faced resistance above and then dropped back, currently stuck in a somewhat interesting position. If it can hold the middle line and break upward, it’s likely to push towards the resistance around 89,000.
If you don’t have any open positions, consider gradually building a position within the 87,300 to 86,700 range, with a profit target around 88,600. Remember one thing: control the risk exposure of each trade—better to earn less than to go all-in recklessly.
The crypto market always tries to punish those who are greedy. As long as you stick to data-driven decisions and technical analysis, surviving long-term is the way to be a winner.

#战略性加仓BTC Why have your accounts been shrinking all day despite watching the market? It might not be a technical issue at all.
I've seen many people stay up late every day monitoring the market, never putting their phone down. And what’s the result? Most of their profits are eaten up by fees, and they end up feeling exhausted all the time. Conversely, those seemingly lazy professional traders might only actively trade for 1-2 hours a day, yet their accounts steadily grow. What’s the difference?
**Master these three time periods, and your efficiency can double**
The first 10-15 minutes after the market opens are the most critical. The first thing professional traders do isn’t rushing to look at the market, but quickly reviewing overnight policy movements and global market fluctuations. Then, they write down today’s plan clearly: "What signals to enter, at what decline to cut, at what rise to take profits." Post it on the screen.
What about retail traders? They open their charts as soon as they wake up, impulsively trade at the opening price, and their emotions are completely tied to the market.
The key during trading hours is—less action. Don’t rush in the first 30 minutes after opening; observe how the market sentiment develops. If your plan isn’t triggered, sit back and have some tea. Wait until the conditions are right before making a move. Reject any urges to "add positions out of boredom" or "chase high impulsively." Keep each trade’s loss within 2% of your total account balance.
Most retail traders? When the K-line moves, they click their mouse immediately. Over a day, the fees could have paid for a whole shop.
The real battleground is actually after the market closes. Professional traders review each trade: Why did they enter? Did they follow the plan? Were they influenced by messages in the group? Then simulate extreme market conditions—what if a black swan appears? Can your current holdings withstand it? Practice the rhythm of cutting losses in advance. Finally, record this week’s win rate, profit-loss ratio, and maximum drawdown in a table, using data to control the illusion of luck in your mind.
What about retail traders? They close the software and watch short videos, then repeat the cycle the next day.
**Change your approach**
Set aside 15 minutes every morning to plan, and focus only on 3 or fewer targets. During the day, set a half-hour alarm to remind yourself: "Is my current operation still within the plan?" In the evening at 8 PM, review what was your most impulsive trade today. If you make the same mistake three days in a row, stop trading that day.
The market itself isn’t scary; what’s frightening is reacting casually against human nature’s routines and the market’s laws. The boundary between professional and amateur isn’t about how accurate your market judgment is, but whether you’re willing to engrain boring discipline into your muscles.

#比特币流动性 【Trading Review: Practical Application of Conservative Strategies in a Bear Market】 Recently, I revisited a trading logic — honestly, many people’s pursuit of high win rates has become a burden. Instead of greedily full-positioning, it’s better to stick to a simple and straightforward approach: emotional isolation, mechanical execution, and not being disturbed by price fluctuations.
The core of this method? It’s stability. Win rates can exceed 90%, but the cost is strict position control — in a bull market, you might watch others chase highs and earn more, which can be uncomfortable. In a bear market, however, it’s like a fish in water, especially in the current market conditions.
Taking Bitcoin as an example, before the 6-hour K-line lower band is broken, it’s a patience-and-waiting-for-stability phase. No need for advanced techniques; just sit calmly and wait for clear signals. There are pros and cons, but the risk is controllable — this is the key to long-term survival.
This is exactly the flavor of the current market.

India’s Foreign Exchange Reserves Rise to $693.32 Billion - - #cryptocurrency #bitcoin #altcoins

#数字资产市场动态 $BTC Trading volume suddenly surges, what does this mean?
In this recent market movement, the 30-minute trading volume of $BTC has increased by 103.0%, indicating that the market is becoming noticeably more active. The current price is stuck at 87586.8 USDT, which is quite a critical level.
Looking further down, 87466.9 USDT is a strong support level—only 0.09% away from the current price. This line must not be broken easily. Below that, there is a more relaxed support zone between 86355.0 and 87466.9 USDT, which can usually absorb a lot of buying pressure.
The combination of a sudden increase in volume and the price near the support level generally signals that a trend may be about to start. Many traders are waiting for this moment.
Regarding trading strategies, here are a few points to consider:
**Entry idea**—You can place an order around 87466.9 USDT and wait for an opportunity to emerge. But don’t forget to set a stop-loss; market volatility can come unexpectedly, so risk management is really important.
A surge in trading volume essentially reflects increased market activity, indicating that a trend reversal might be near. $BTC at this position, close to a key support level with volume clearly rising, warrants close attention. When the timing is right, it could be a good opportunity to consider going long.

It's been a while since I last talked about Bitcoin with everyone, so let's review some key points. Do you remember the bullish outlook when the price was around 80,000 and 86,000? Since then, the price has surged to 90,000.
Every night, I enjoy thinking across different fields—this feeling is a kind of release for me. Since November last year, the crypto market's enthusiasm for Bitcoin has been high, and many people want to share in the gains. But ironically, so far, Bitcoin's increase hasn't even outperformed the quietly steady silver.
This circle is just like that—completely different from other markets, especially sensitive, with strong cyclical patterns. I mentioned as early as October that "it's autumn in the crypto world." The real winter? Not here yet.
The current situation can be seen as a late autumn stage—bullish opportunities still exist. Don't follow the crowd to be bearish just because the market is cautious. From a trend perspective, I remain bullish, with short-term targets around 100,000 to 105,000, and an ultimate goal of 110,000.
The period around the Spring Festival is a critical window. If this opportunity passes, Bitcoin might enter winter. Once the target is hit, I will switch to a long-term bearish view, but for now? It's still early.
This could be the last chance to break free. Can you seize it? Are you still holding onto the 150,000 expectation? I hope everyone can learn something from the agony of holding positions.
Pure personal opinion, for reference only. Wishing everyone a Happy New Year in advance!

Learn from history, where is Bitcoin positioned in the cycle now?
Let's mainly talk about Bitcoin today. I hold a certain percentage of stocks related to Bitcoin. What is the current price level, and what is expected to be the trend in the next year? We need to analyze this.
1. The cyclicality of Bitcoin is very obvious; based on the past few occurrences, it is basically a 4-year cycle, which is very stable! As for the reasons for the cycle, there are various opinions, but the core influencing factor lies in the Bitcoin halving event. The Bitcoin halving is a preset, automatically triggered event in the Bitcoin network, and its core mechanism aims to control the issuance rate of Bitcoin, ensuring that its total supply remains constant at 21 million coins, thus building its scarcity value foundation.
The event is driven by the halving of the block reward for miners mining new Bitcoin approximately every 210,000 blocks (about every four years).
Each occurrence of halving represents a reduction in earnings achieved by miners for the same amount of investment. Some unprofitable miners will exit, which will delay the production of Bitcoin.
It can be understood that as the cost of gold mining increases and the amount of gold available for trading in the market decreases, the price goes up.
Therefore, shortly after the halving occurs, the price of Bitcoin is expected to experience a surge. Once the price rises to a level where it is still profitable even with the halved mining rewards, more people will participate in mining, leading to an increase in supply, and thereafter the price will fluctuate.
Of course, since the production of Bitcoin is virtual and does not correspond to the physical world, its fluctuations and cycles do not completely follow the balance of supply and demand.
There are also factors such as liquidity, social consensus, speculative frenzy, market sentiment, and so on.
But the final outcome shows that, starting from the halving cycle, the price peaks after 12-18 months, then begins to adjust; it takes another 12-18 months for the price to hit the bottom, and then it starts to rebound, continuing until the beginning of the new halving.
2. Price fluctuations during the period
The most recent halving occurred in April 2024. Now let's take a look at what position we are in within the cycle.
The table above summarizes the recent price trends of Bitcoin over the last four cycles, and it can be seen that:
The price reaches its peak 12-18 months after the halving, with the peak price increasing at least twice compared to the price at the time of the halving.
The pullback after the peak is astonishing, reaching up to 80%.
It generally takes 13 months from the high point to the cyclical rebound low point.
Let's take another look at the performance of this cycle:
1) The 18th month after the halving in April 2024 (October 2025) saw a peak, with Bitcoin approaching $130,000;
2) After reaching a high point, it retraced to a low of 80,000 dollars, a retracement of 36%;
Low point lasted only 1 month
Based on the trends of previous cycles, the current $80,000 does not seem to be a true low point, as the retracement is only 36%, far from the scale of retracements seen in earlier cycles.
In addition, the cycle is too short, or even if 80,000 dollars is the low point, it is not yet the turning point for the price rebound of Bitcoin; the market at least needs to stabilize and recover over a period of at least 6-12 months.
Of course, due to the significant improvements in Bitcoin-related policies and the social environment over the past two years, many voices are expressing that this time might be different. If it is indeed different, what kind of market trends can we expect next?
3. Future Price Trends and Investment Strategies We will derive from three perspectives: optimistic, neutral, and pessimistic.
Pessimistic: The non-price bottom is 80,000, and the decline should be at least close to 60%-70%, which means the price will drop below 50,000 dollars; moreover, in terms of time, it will take until the second half of 2026 to stabilize and start to recover.
Mid-term view: 80,000 is the price bottom, but the price will fluctuate between 80,000 and 100,000 until the second half of 2026 when it starts to enter an upward channel.
Optimistic: 80,000 is the price bottom, and the pullback period has significantly shortened, with an increase expected to start in the first half of 2026.
Different people have different judgments on which of the three they are more inclined to. Since the future is unpredictable, we can only adjust our positions based on the risks and returns we can accept in the different situations of the three.
$BTC ‌