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On-chain Analyst
Futures Trading Strategist
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Breaking news crashes the market!
The Federal Reserve launched a $13.5 billion liquidity surprise, officially ending quantitative tightening, with its balance sheet turning upward! Meanwhile, ETH completed the Fusaka upgrade, boosting throughput by 8x and slashing gas fees by 40%-60%, lifting its fundamentals to a new level.
A liquidity inflection point plus a major technical breakthrough delivers a double impact, further fueled by traditional asset management giants opening up crypto product investments, unlocking trillion-dollar capital channels. BTC has already rebounded over 6% to surpass
ETH4.11%
BTC1.81%
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ETH W-bottom pattern has formed + descending trendline breakout! If it can hold above and break through the neckline resistance above, there will be further upside potential. In the short term, focus on the validity of the neckline breakout, and following the trend for positioning is more prudent~
ETH4.11%
GT1.35%
BTC1.81%
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Lowering return expectations can actually help you navigate more steadily in a volatile market
A soul-searching question: when the market plunges sharply and holders are scrambling to exit, do you panic-sell and cut your losses, or do you dare to go against the trend and buy the dip?
#十二月行情展望
BTC1.81%
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Daily engulfing + hourly V-shaped reversal! Can BTC's short-term rebound continue? The key lies in breaking through 93000
The daily chart shows a strong engulfing pattern for the first time, with 93000 becoming a key resistance level—if it breaks and holds above, the daily structure will be reconstructed, and Monday’s steep drop will be seen as a secondary bottom, with the next targets at 96000-98000. If it fails and pulls back, the market is likely to enter a period of mild consolidation.
The hourly chart shows a V-shaped reversal engulfing previous losses, currently testing the neckline. Aft
BTC1.81%
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BTC is consolidating around 87350, after rebounding from 83700 it has entered a high-level game, with significant resistance at 87640 and multiple unsuccessful attempts to break through, leading to weakening rebound momentum. The MACD indicator shows a short-term repair signal, but the lack of volume constrains the breakout, making the overall structure bearish and prone to high fluctuations.
The operation is mainly focused on short positions, with a light position layout for shorts at 87500-87650, targeting 86500-86800 first, and if it breaks below, looking at 85800-86000; only if it stabiliz
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BTC1.81%
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The Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and personnel changes (the probability of Powell leaving is very low, and Donald Trump may push for a "dovish" candidate) combined with a major statement at 3 AM tomorrow continue to disturb the sentiment in the crypto circle. Although Big Bro previously leveraged highly to increase his ETH long positions, he has already faced two rounds of liquidation and his assets have gone to zero, making it difficult for his operations to change the market's downward trend.
The ETH daily downtrend has not stopped, and the 50/100/200-day moving averages are
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BTC and JPY fluctuate highly synchronously, the core is the linkage logic of JPY arbitrage trading: In the past, JPY had a zero interest rate, pros borrowed JPY to exchange for USD and held Heavy Position in BTC to earn high returns; now with Japan raising interest rates and borrowing costs soaring, it is necessary to sell BTC to exchange for USD to repay JPY debt.
The strengthening of the yen corresponds to the closing of arbitrage positions, putting pressure on BTC which has declined. This means that BTC has already integrated into global macro liquidity and has become a "barometer" for the
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Did you all get to enjoy the big profits from the 3214 points of the pancake this time?
12-1 Big Profits Layout, Anticipate the Sharp Decline Trend in Advance: Breaking below the lower Bollinger Band, all indicators are bearish, KDJ/RIS oversold rebound is not a reversal, but a window for trend-following replenishment layout!
Enter short positions at 86500-87000, with the target hit precisely, securing a profit of 3214 points — not betting on direction but following signals, solidifying the trend rhythm, big market movements are never about luck, but certainty after precise predictions!
#十二月行情
BTC1.81%
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[Accurate prediction realized again! Did you catch this big dump of BNB yesterday?]
Yesterday, I placed a short position between 830-840, directly securing a profit of over 30 points. The market moved from 833 to 801, and I timed it perfectly!
The dual logic of technical analysis and macro factors has long anchored the bears; the rebound is weak, and the indicators are all bearish as expected—it's not luck, it's the precise grasp of "momentum, volume, and position!"
Remember: In our rhythm, every rebound is an opportunity to make money! For the next wave of short positions, we have alr
BNB3.19%
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12-2 AM BTC/ETH layout:
BTC rebounded after hitting a low of 83786, peaking at 86817 before retreating, currently oscillating around 86500; ETH also strengthened, rising from 2718 to 2818, and is currently consolidating around 2800.
The technical analysis indicates a bearish market: the upper Bollinger Band is widening downward, the MACD is showing increasing green bars below the zero line, and bears are dominant; however, the KDJ is oversold, suggesting a possible short-term rebound. The overall bearish trend remains unchanged, and the rebound is likely to serve as a continuation of the downw
XRP1.11%
ETH4.11%
BTC1.81%
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YaoQianshuAvip:
Quite powerful specific points
Yesterday, BTC opened with a flash crash, dipping from the 90,000 mark to around 83,800 before rebounding. This pullback is the result of a triple resonance of macro environment, market structure, and panic sentiment. The tightening of external liquidity has accelerated the flight to safety from mainstream assets. We accurately grasped multiple waves of market movements, and aside from one short-term long position that made a small profit, the rest of our operations were quite rewarding.
After experiencing a flash crash, BTC welcomed a technical rebound overnight, currently fluctuating around
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The market is experiencing higher trade volumes and a heavy drop, with BTC falling 5000 points in a single day and ETH dropping over 230 points. In the last four hours, short positions have exceeded 3.3 billion USD, and in the last 12 hours, long orders have gotten liquidated reaching 550 million USD.
The daily level rebound encounters pressure at the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, with MACD showing no bullish divergence. The double bottom resonance pattern is difficult to form, and bottom fishing should be done with caution.
#十二月行情展望
ETH4.11%
BTC1.81%
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CME data shows that the probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25 BP in December exceeds 86%. Coupled with the conclusion of QT on December 1, the dual policy shift will inject loose liquidity into the market.
As a highly sensitive risk asset, BTC has rebounded over 12% from a low point, stabilizing at $90,000. With institutional capital inflows resonating with policy dividends, it is expected to make a push towards the $100,000 mark by the end of the year. However, caution is needed regarding short-term fluctuations after expectations have been overextended.
#十二月行情展望
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BTC1.81%
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The recent downtrend of BNB has been completely nailed down! The two consecutive falls on the 4-hour chart have left the long positions bewildered, and the 1-hour chart is even weaker to the point of being helpless—previously, there was hardly any decent support when it approached the 900 mark, and the rebound strength was comparable to "a dragonfly touching the water." The rhythm of rising slightly then falling completely exposes the predicament of the long positions' weakness.
The current technical indicators have already sent clear bearish signals, with the MACD and RSI indicators both
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BTC1.81%
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Core BTC layout on the morning of December 1st:
After the new week's bearish news triggered a sell-off, the market shifted from an expected correction to a sharp decline. BTC has broken below the lower Bollinger Band, with all three bands moving downward, and all indicators are aligned with the bearish trend, clearly indicating a shift towards bearish momentum.
Operating Strategy:
Short positions should be laid out in the 86500-87000 range, with the first target at the key level of 85500. After breaking this level, gradual profit-taking can be considered, and attention should be paid to th
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BTC1.81%
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The new week starts with unfavourable information and dumping, mainstream + altcoins collectively plummet, and this week's pullback directly exceeds expectations, resulting in a sharp fall!
The trend is not right, decisively turn around—currently, a slight rebound is an opportunity to go short, short at 86800 and 88200, first look at 86000, if broken, continue to pursue the downward space.
#十二月降息预测
XRP1.11%
ETH4.11%
BTC1.81%
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Does the market on Monday never play by the rules? As soon as it opened, this bearish line directly smashed BTC through the short-term support, catching many people off guard 😱
#十二月降息预测
ETH4.11%
BTC1.81%
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