Child

January 2, 2026
In the blink of an eye, a new chapter of 2026 has begun. Based on past experience, Bitcoin's market trend will not continue to decline. It is not uncommon for the returns in 2026 to underperform other assets, but if it underperforms for two consecutive years, it has never happened before in history. From this perspective, 2026 is definitely an exciting new cycle, and holding onto high-quality assets is of utmost importance.
From another perspective, it is also a year full of hope—this is the development of the AI industry. After the AI large models became relatively mature in t

Happy New Year! May everyone get what they wish for. Taking a day off today.

December 31, 2025
2025 is about to pass, and every time this time of year comes around, I can't help but feel nostalgic about how quickly time flies. Fortunately, the past year was not an ordinary one. Although the investment returns over the past year may not have been ideal, I have always believed that the most important thing in life is experience. The same applies to investing— the more experiences you have, the more knowledgeable you become, and making money should come naturally.
Recently, I have gained a new insight: the motivation behind an individual's choice to invest in cryptocurren

December 30, 2025
The overall market seems to have little change. The upcoming on-chain perpetual contract trading platform Light, after checking its token LIT, appears to continue the downward trend since launch. This indicates that the current market is still relatively weak, especially retail investors' confidence in altcoins. It's clear now that selling at the open is the best choice.
Confidence is a very important factor. In other words, market sentiment has a significant impact on prices. Prices always swing around value, and how far they swing is mainly influenced by sentiment. Objectiv

December 29, 2025
I've always wanted to try the field of video blogging, but previously I was hindered by complex processes and lacked a good learning path, or rather, the time cost of learning was too high. Now, through AI, I am attempting to participate in the production of video channels in a comprehensive way, from scriptwriting and recording to editing, etc. There are several motivations for creating a cryptocurrency technology explanation video channel.
First, if done well, it can bring certain economic returns, and technical videos won't become outdated, allowing for long-term compound

December 28, 2025
Today, while checking some daily trading data, I found that over 5,000 Aster tokens have not been claimed (I posted an update about this). The claiming feature was opened on the 15th. I initially thought it wasn't a big deal and didn't pay much attention, but I was still a bit happy, so I posted an update. Many people are still quite interested in this, so I want to share two perspectives using Aster as an example.
First, for tokens with high inflation, simply holding them is like making someone else a bride. Aster is a typical high-inflation token. Inflation here means conti

December 27, 2025
Silver has hit a new high again. Every high-quality asset has its own time to shine, but compared to precious metals, I still prefer emerging assets. The technical popularization I mentioned about blockchain technology is not only to educate those unfamiliar with it but also, in a sense, to deepen my own understanding and help myself hold more coins.
Recently, several major projects are preparing for TGE, but they mainly revolve around stablecoins and Perp. I’m not opposed to these types of projects, but honestly, the competition in Perp is still centered around trading, and

December 26, 2025
Recently, I had an idea to create a dedicated educational channel for BTC and ETH, aiming to explain the principles as clearly as possible through simple and accessible methods. Besides providing a straightforward learning platform for those interested in understanding the underlying technology of blockchain, I also hope to continuously update content on the latest technological upgrades and ecosystem developments to reinforce long-term holders' confidence.
Since the content is primarily technical, the best format might be videos. I'm not sure if everyone is interested in thi

December 25, 2025
Merry Christmas. An important holiday, and for the crypto circle, this is not just the Western Spring Festival; to some extent, it is also a "robbery" in the crypto world. Because in the past, such situations often led to severe capital outflows, especially before Christmas, when a "Christmas rally" or even a sharp decline could occur. Although the timing of this Christmas decline is a bit early, I believe it can also be classified as a "Christmas market movement." The reason why declines tend to happen during Christmas is most likely due to year-end capital needs and the yea

December 24, 2025
2025 is coming to an end. Today, many people are sharing a certain message: Silver +128.47%, Gold +66.59%, Copper +35.45%, NASDAQ +19.7%, S&P +16.2%, Russell +13%, BTC -6%, ETH -12%. No wonder the feeling of investing in cryptocurrencies has been so poor this year, with even the leading Bitcoin and second-place Ethereum showing negative returns, not to mention altcoins.
Fate takes turns; who would have thought at the beginning of the year that gold would surge, reaching $4500, or that silver would double in a short period? Seeing these “assets” prices soaring has strengthened

December 23, 2025
The price of AAVE has dropped a bit in the past two days. The reason for the decline is that a large holder has sold off. As for why the large holder sold, it is because there was a dispute between the DAO and Labs. Labs transferred 10 million in profits without the community's consent, claiming it was their rightful share, but from the community's perspective, this clearly belongs to the community's assets.
It seems that TAO is trying to reclaim brand-related assets of AAVE, such as domain names and accounts. A good project has suddenly faced a governance crisis.

December 22, 2025
Ethereum has stumbled above 3000. In the context of insufficient market confidence and lack of liquidity, it is highly likely that certain institutions or major players are slowly accumulating. In fact, at this time point, buying in now does not necessarily mean you can buy at the bottom, but from a long-term perspective, I firmly believe that holding spot is not a problem.
You might think that a $90,000 Bitcoin is expensive, or you might think Ethereum has a chance to drop to three digits, but I am already prepared to fully invest in spot if Bitcoin falls below 2000 again. A

December 21, 2025
Of course, if the bear market continues to decline, there is still room for the market value to go down. However, as my AI DeFi model evaluates, from the perspective of PE and other angles, the token price has already entered a range with very high cost-performance ratio. There is definitely no pressure for short-term funds, so it is certainly possible to accumulate positions. To be honest, I can't predict the short-term price, but entering at this position for the long term is very likely not to result in losses.
However, it must be emphasized here that I judge the marke

December 25, 2025
Today's market performance is quite good, with Ethereum attempting to once again stabilize above $3000. Notably, the rebound of altcoins today has essentially recovered the declines from a few days ago. In fact, I wonder if everyone has noticed that recent short-term market movements have been quite volatile, which is actually a sign of increasing volatility and also a potential signal that the market may trigger a rally.
In terms of timing, only a few days remain until Christmas. The Western New Year usually pulls some liquidity out of the market, leading to a significant dr

December 15, 2025
The market continues to move sideways. As we often say, it is essentially in a state of neglect, including other indicators, which have already shown signs of being buyable. The current market is quite special in that many indicators have become invalid, including the most commonly used greed and fear index. Therefore, the credibility of these indicators is somewhat compromised. Of course, if we base our actions solely on indicators, we are still not in a mindless phase.
This also aligns with the overall market situation. Do you think we are in a bear market now? Indeed, many

December 14, 2025
Today I tried using AI to build a personal bull-bear judgment model. I input multiple indicators, such as the market panic index, capital costs, funding rates, and so on. Then, using real-time data within certain ranges, I calculate weighted scores to finally determine whether the market is in a bull or bear phase, assisting my investment decisions.
The picture shows the current version I’ve built. Based on today's data, the conclusion is: bold buying. However, this version has not yet undergone optimization or backtesting with historical data. I can only observe for now, but

December 13, 2025
There are also drawbacks. You might overlook critical flaws in the business model because you resonate with the project's values or the founder's passion. When the price drops, you'll try to justify it ("The market hasn't understood it yet") instead of cutting losses. In the end, AI gave me one piece of advice: remember, don't fall in love with your coins. I don't know if AI's advice is accurate, or if it's just because that's how I am. I feel these summaries are very spot-on, though I also recognize that they reflect common traits and flaws many people share. Anyway, try fee

December 11, 2025
The interest rate cut has been implemented, with a further decrease of 25 basis points. However, it did not bring a significant boost to the market; instead, there was a rally before the rate cut was announced. Looking at the trend after the rate cut, confidence remains insufficient, and funds are showing signs of fleeing. It can only be said that the market in the next one to two months is worrying. However, yesterday's rise has given us a little confidence, indicating that the downside space is relatively limited.
It must be emphasized again that the so-called limited downw