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Recently, I often see on-chain "coincidental transfers,"
A sends some to B, then B sends roughly the same amount to C...
At first glance, it looks like a script, but I prefer to break it down into paths:
From the source of funds, commonly used interaction contracts, time intervals, amount fluctuations (whether intentionally rounded or avoided rounding), and explain it step by step.
Many "coincidences" ultimately fall into the same router, the same task platform's operational habits, especially during airdrop seasons, which become even more obvious.
The points system makes grabbing tokens feel like clocking in at work; after the anti-witch upgrade, everyone's actions tend to become more uniform, leading to more coincidences.
A colleague passing by glanced at my screen and said, "Are you making a relationship graph for people?"…
I don't know either, but at least it's better than just watching K-line charts for healing, and it can turn suspicion and paranoia into a few reproducible rules.