2026-01-21 08:22:02

History repeats itself. Bitcoin's RSI relative to gold has once again fallen below 30, entering an extremely oversold zone. This is the fourth time such an extreme situation has occurred on record.

Looking back over the past decade, every time this signal appears, the market has played out the same scenario: first extreme pessimism, followed by a strong rebound.

At the end of the 2015 bear market, after RSI fell below 30, Bitcoin entered a super rally in 2016-2017; in 2018, gold rose by 6%, while Bitcoin fell over 40%, with RSI also dropping below 30. And then? Bitcoin rebounded over 770% from its lows, completely surpassing gold's gains; in 2022, Bitcoin fell nearly 60%, RSI again touched extreme levels, but then there was another reversal.

Looking at the situation in 2025 now. Gold has surged 64% this year, rising another 10% in the first 20 days, soaring all the way. Meanwhile, Bitcoin's RSI relative to gold has once again entered oversold territory.

Although the sample size of history is limited, the message is clear — every instance of extreme overselling is not the end, but rather the eve of a new strong rebound. Of course, past performance does not guarantee future results, but this pattern is worth paying attention to.

BTC-0,29%

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quiet_lurker

· 7h ago

History can repeat itself so well, I don't believe you. --- RSI has fallen below 30 four times and rebounded? What about the fifth time, continue? --- Gold surged 64%. Why didn't I get in? Now you're saying BTC will rebound... it's a bit late, isn't it? --- Every time they say "Historical patterns are worth paying attention to," the meaning of patterns is that they might not be accurate. --- We all know about the 10x increase in 2016, and now they're just bringing it up. --- I just want to know if this time will be that "break in the pattern." --- Data tells stories, sounds very convincing, but my coins in the account are long gone. --- On the eve of extreme overselling... brother, I heard this in 2022.

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FudVaccinator

· 7h ago

Buddy, history just keeps repeating itself, RSI has dropped below 30 again? Can this time turn around? This wave of gold taking off is a bit outrageous, but Bitcoin always manages a full turnaround every time it's suppressed, this pattern is real. I can't forget the 770% surge, and now it's happening again? Betting on a rebound to take off. It's another moment of "past does not predict the future," but the data is right here, believe it or not. RSI has broken below 30 four times, if it can't recover this time, it's really time to reflect. History repeating itself is quite effective in the crypto world, feels like this year gold has had its fill, now it's Bitcoin's turn. Every time there's extreme overselling, it's the moment to get in. By the way, do you dare to buy the dip?

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BearMarketSurvivor

· 7h ago

Here we go again, this set of excuses is always so effective. History is just so coincidental. Wait, is the 64% increase in gold real? It feels like Bitcoin has been completely crushed. I've lost count of how many times RSI has broken below 30. Anyway, just relax and do nothing. Every time they say the next wave will turn around, but in the end, I'm still trapped. I choose not to believe it. Is this time really different? I'm a bit tired emotionally. History repeating? I only see myself repeatedly betrayed by history.

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BoredApeResistance

· 7h ago

Is this the same routine again? History repeats itself but never exactly the same. This time, gold is so strong, can Bitcoin really turn things around? RSI breaking below 30 must mean a rebound? Feels a bit overfitted. Since 2015, we've been in a bull market environment, but the current macro environment is completely different. Wait, wait, why does this logic feel so familiar? Last time I analyzed it this way, I lost a lot. Breaking below 30 to buy the dip? I don't think so, maybe this time is truly different. Gold has surged 64%, which is really fierce. If Bitcoin wants to turn around, it will have to go all out. It's the same old story of historical patterns. Every time it's said, the market moves in the opposite direction, causing trouble. Breaking below 30? What does that matter? My account has long been broken mentally, haha. This time, the feeling is really strong that it's different. The macro has changed, bro. Waiting for a rebound, but this wave feels a bit risky...

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