December 15, 2025

The market continues to move sideways. As we often say, it is essentially in a state of neglect, including other indicators, which have already shown signs of being buyable. The current market is quite special in that many indicators have become invalid, including the most commonly used greed and fear index. Therefore, the credibility of these indicators is somewhat compromised. Of course, if we base our actions solely on indicators, we are still not in a mindless phase.
This also aligns with the overall market situation. Do you think we are in a bear market now? Indeed, many coins have fallen more than half from their highs. Do you think we are at the bottom of the bear market? It’s almost certain that we are not yet, as current liquidity is extremely fragile, and any slight disturbance could lead to further decline. More importantly, if we are truly following a four-year cycle, the real bear market has not even started yet!
Using my self-developed AI model, which indicates when I can increase my position, I will follow the objective patterns of the data, but I will also make subjective judgments to control the overall situation. I believe a good proportion is to maintain five to seven percent of the position, and if there is a subsequent market movement, gradually reduce it. Additionally, it’s worth mentioning that I plan to continue using AI models to help me select a few projects, and I will share that when the time comes.
Based on the recent months’ price trends, everyone has more or less felt how terrifying the one-sided price movement can be after entering a bear market. But at this price level, I actually believe we have entered a value zone. However, due to the lack of liquidity, prices may fall again to a value trough. Having cash on hand will make one more at ease, but overall, at this moment