
Prediction Market Platform Kalshi announced on March 19 that it has completed a new funding round exceeding $1 billion, valuing the company at $22 billion, doubling its valuation from the previous round in December last year. The new round was led by Coatue Management. The timing of this announcement is particularly notable—just days after the Arizona Attorney General filed criminal charges against Kalshi.
This funding highlights Kalshi’s rapid growth through key financial metrics:
Funding Size: Over $1 billion
Post-Money Valuation: $22 billion
Previous Round (December 2025): $11 billion (led by Paradigm, with follow-on investments from Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, and ARK Invest)
Lead Investor in This Round: Coatue Management
Current Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR): $1.5 billion
According to sources cited by Bloomberg, both Kalshi and Coatue have not made official comments on this matter. The news was initially reported by The Wall Street Journal, with sources requesting anonymity due to the private nature of the information.
The valuation doubled from $11 billion to $22 billion within about three months, supported by $1.5 billion in annualized revenue, indicating that Kalshi’s business model has moved from proof of concept into a scalable profit trajectory.
This funding news comes amid the most intense regulatory conflict in the prediction market industry to date.
This week, Arizona’s Attorney General filed 20 criminal misdemeanor charges against Kalshi, accusing it of violating state laws by engaging in illegal gambling activities. Kalshi denies all charges, asserting that its operations are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) at the federal level, and that state gaming authorities lack legal jurisdiction over prediction markets.
In this standoff, federal regulators have clearly sided with Kalshi. CFTC Chair Michael Selig publicly stated that the Arizona criminal charges are “completely inappropriate” and characterized them as a “jurisdictional dispute,” adding that the agency is “closely monitoring the situation.” On the same day, MLB announced it had designated Polymarket (Kalshi’s competitor) as its exclusive official prediction market partner, and signed a memorandum of understanding under federal regulatory framework, further reinforcing federal jurisdiction over prediction markets.
Despite ongoing legislative opposition, Coatue’s leadership in completing this $1 billion funding round under the shadow of Arizona’s criminal charges is a significant bet that “prediction markets will ultimately be legalized under federal regulation.”
With $1.5 billion ARR, a $22 billion valuation implies a P/S ratio of about 14-15x, which is high but not uncommon among high-growth tech firms. If Kalshi maintains its revenue growth and federal regulatory legitimacy is ultimately established, this valuation is justifiable. Comparatively, Polymarket was valued at around $9 billion when invested in by ICE in October 2025, and Kalshi’s higher revenue scale supports a higher valuation premium, making the relative valuation reasonable.
Coatue Management is a well-known hedge fund specializing in growth tech investments, managing over $50 billion in assets, with past investments in Snap, Lyft, Instacart, and other prominent tech companies. Leading this $1 billion round indicates that traditional large institutional investors are beginning to see prediction markets as a mainstream fintech sector rather than fringe crypto projects.
Legal risks are real, but Kalshi’s defense is clear: its operations are federally regulated by the CFTC, which has publicly supported its stance, asserting that state gaming authorities lack jurisdiction over prediction markets. The final ruling on jurisdiction may require intervention from federal appellate courts or the Supreme Court. Until then, top-tier investors are willing to value Kalshi at $22 billion, effectively making a legal judgment on the ultimate outcome.