Moenihan: Interest rates will continue to decline, which is positive for the market

Fed March rate cut 25 basis points probability at 1.9%, probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged reaches 98.1%

Gate News: On March 15, according to CME "FedWatch" data, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision next Thursday at 02:00. The data shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in March is 1.9%, while the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 98.1%. Looking ahead to April, the probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively cutting rates by 50 basis points is 0.1%, the probability of cumulatively cutting rates by 25 basis points is 5.8%, and the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 94.1%.

Uncertainty in stablecoin regulation causes traditional banks to delay infrastructure investments, while crypto companies offering 4%-5% returns may accelerate capital migration.

Unclear stablecoin regulations create operational difficulties for traditional banks, while crypto companies continue to develop in gray areas. Banks are hesitant to make large-scale investments in stablecoin infrastructure due to advice from legal counsel, resulting in limited deployment. While large-scale deposit outflows have not yet occurred, competitive pressure is increasing.

US Senate Bans CBDC: What Happens to Its Wholesale Version?

The US Senate’s newly passed Housing Act does not clearly distinguish between retail and wholesale versions of a CBDC. The definition of the act, though, implies that the CBDC prohibition applies only to the retail version, which is designed to be widely available to the public. The US Senate

美联储预计下周维持利率在 3.50%-3.75% 不变，伊朗战争推高通胀压力

美联储将在下周会议上预计维持利率不变，利率范围为3.50%-3.75%。伊朗战争导致油价飙升和通胀压力增加，经济不确定性加大。市场普遍预期美联储按兵不动，以观察局势对通胀和就业的影响。

Thay đổi quy tắc Basel III có thể mở đường cho dòng tiền “khổng lồ” vào Bitcoin, nhà phân tích

Basel III regulations on bank capital requirements may be updated in 2026, potentially lowering Bitcoin's risk classification. If so, it could unlock significant liquidity in the BTC market. Current rules impose a high risk factor, hindering banks from engaging with cryptocurrencies, prompting calls for regulatory reform to encourage traditional banking integration of BTC.

联邦法院叫停司法部对鲍威尔传票调查，沃伦支持沃什担任美联储主席概率升至28%

预测市场显示，伊丽莎白·沃伦支持凯文·沃什担任美联储主席的概率上升至28%。联邦法院叫停针对现任主席鲍威尔的调查，沃伦称其为“政治迫害”，呼吁放弃调查。随着调查受挫，沃什的提名阻力减小，尽管两人的政策立场存在明显对立。