The European Central Bank is expected to hold steady next week, with the market closely watching economic forecasts and signals on the timing of interest rate hikes

BlockBeats News, December 14 – The Financial Times analysis points out that, given European Central Bank President Lagarde’s statement that the bank is in a “good state,” investors are unanimously expecting the ECB to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 2% next week and are shifting their focus to its economic forecasts. Lagarde stated this week that rate setters might raise their growth forecasts for the Eurozone again at the upcoming meeting. These stronger growth forecasts and persistent inflation have recently led traders to increase bets on the ECB raising interest rates next year. However, due to ongoing debate over the potential shift in monetary policy direction and the fact that swap market pricing has only recently reflected this change in recent weeks, traders will be paying close attention to clues regarding the timing of rate hikes, with any policy signal adjustments expected to be subtle. George Morant, Eurozone economist at Royal Bank of Canada Capital Markets, said he does not expect the ECB to raise rates in 2026, as “cyclical tailwinds may be temporary.” He added that the ECB has “explicitly stated that it does not want to overreact to temporary deviations from the target.” (Jin10)

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LongAndShortSuckersvip
· 12-14 21:31
BlockBeats News, December 14 — A Financial Times analysis points out that, given European Central Bank President Lagarde's statement that the bank is in a "good state," investors are widely expecting the European Central Bank to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 2% next week and shift their focus to its economic forecasts. Lagarde stated this week that rate setters might again raise their growth forecasts for the Eurozone at the upcoming meeting. These stronger growth projections and persistent inflation have recently led traders to increase bets on a rate hike by the European Central Bank next year. However, due to ongoing debates over the potential shift in monetary policy direction and the fact that the swap market has only recently begun to price in this change in the past few weeks, traders will pay close attention to clues regarding the timing of rate hikes. Any adjustments to policy signals are expected to be subtle. George Morant, Eurozone economist at Royal Bank of Canada Capital Markets, stated that he does not expect the European Central Bank to raise interest rates in 2026 because of a "cyclical tailwind."
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MiaoLaobiaovip
· 12-14 16:09
Hop on board!🚗
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