Can MetaMask create a huge wave of stablecoins in its own pond?

金色财经_

Author: Prathik Desai; Translated by: BitpushNews

Every recent week feels like déjà vu—another stablecoin release, another attempt to redefine the flow of value.

It started with a bidding battle for Hyperliquid's USDH issuance rights, and then there was a discussion about the broader trend of vertical integration to capture U.S. Treasury yields.

Now, it's MetaMask's native stablecoin, mUSD. What do all these strategies have in common? Distribution. **

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In the cryptocurrency space, and indeed in various fields, distribution has become a “success story” for building thriving business models.

If you could have a community of millions, why not directly airdrop tokens to take advantage of this? Well, because it doesn't always work.

Telegram once attempted to achieve this through TON, but despite having 500 million messaging users, these users never migrated to the blockchain.

Facebook once attempted to achieve this through Libra, firmly believing that its billions of social media accounts could form the basis of a new currency. Theoretically, both seemed destined for success, but in practice, they fell apart.

This might be why MetaMask's mUSD, with its fox ears and the ‘$’ symbol on top, caught my attention. At first glance, it looks like any other stablecoin—backed by short-term U.S. Treasury bonds held in a regulated custodian and issued through a framework developed by the M0 protocol via Bridge.xyz.

However, in the current $300 billion stablecoin market firmly dominated by two giants, what will make MetaMask's mUSD stand out?

Distribution: MetaMask's unique skills

MetaMask may be entering a highly competitive field, but it has a unique selling point that its competitors cannot match: distribution.

MetaMask has 100 million annual users globally, and its user base has few rivals.

mUSD will also be the first stablecoin ever natively launched in self-custody wallets, supporting deposit purchases using fiat (on-ramp), exchanges (swaps), and even in-store purchases via the MetaMask Card. Users will no longer need to search across exchanges, bridge between different chains, or deal with the hassle of adding custom tokens.

Telegram does not have this alignment between products and user behavior. But MetaMask does.

Telegram aims to transfer its message users to the blockchain for decentralized financial applications. MetaMask enhances the user experience by integrating native stablecoins within the application.

The data shows that its adoption speed is very fast.

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The market value of MetaMask's mUSD increased from 25 million dollars to 65 million dollars within a week. Nearly 90% of this is on the Layer 2 network Linea, which indicates that MetaMask's interface can effectively guide liquidity.

This influence is similar to what exchanges have used in the past: when Binance automatically converted deposits to BUSD in 2022, its circulation skyrocketed overnight. Whoever controls the screen controls the token. With over 30 million monthly active users, MetaMask has more screens than any other entity in the Web3 space.

It's this distribution advantage that will set MetaMask apart from early players who tried to build a sustainable stablecoin but ultimately failed.

Telegram's grand plans have partially collapsed due to regulatory issues. MetaMask has insulated itself by partnering with Stripe's issuer, Bridge, and backing each token with short-term U.S. bonds. THIS IS IN LINE WITH REGULATORY REQUIREMENTS, AND THE GENIUS ACT IN THE UNITED STATES PROVIDES THE LEGAL FRAMEWORK FOR IT FROM DAY ONE.

Liquidity will also be key. MetaMask is seeding Linea's DeFi ecosystem with mUSD trading pairs, hoping that its internal network can anchor adoption.

However, distribution does not guarantee success. MetaMask's biggest challenge will come from existing giants, especially in a market already dominated by a few major players.

Tether's USDT and Circle's USDC account for nearly 85% of all stablecoins. Ethena's USDe, lured by yields, ranks a distant third with a supply of $14 billion. Hyperliquid's USDH has just arrived, aiming to reinvest its trading deposits back into its own ecosystem.

This brings me back to the original question: What exactly does MetaMask want mUSD to become?

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Challenges and Value Capture: Positioning of mUSD

Directly challenging USDT and USDC seems unlikely. Liquidity, exchange listings, and user habits all favor the existing giants. Perhaps mUSD does not need to compete head-on. Just as I expect Hyperliquid's USDH to benefit its ecosystem by delivering more value to its community, mUSD may also be an initiative aimed at capturing more value from its existing user base.

Whenever new users deposit through Transak, whenever someone exchanges ETH for new stablecoins within MetaMask, and whenever they swipe their MetaMask Card in stores, mUSD will be the first choice. This integrates the stablecoin as the default option within the network.

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This reminds me of the times when I had to bridge USDC to Ethereum, Solana, Arbitrum, and Polygon, depending on what I needed to do with the stablecoin.

mUSD has ended all these cumbersome bridging and exchange processes.

Another important gain: Income

Through mUSD, MetaMask will capture the yields of U.S. Treasury bonds that support the token. For every $1 billion in circulation, it means tens of millions of dollars in annual interest will flow back to ConsenSys. This will transform the wallet from a cost center into a profit engine.

If there are only 1 billion mUSD supported by equivalent U.S. Treasury bonds, it can earn an interest income of 40 million dollars from the returns each year. In comparison, MetaMask earned 67 million dollars from the fees it collected last year.

This can unlock another passive and considerable source of income for MetaMask.

However, there is a factor that makes me uneasy.

For many years, I have believed that wallets are neutral “sign and send” tools. mUSD blurs this line and turns the tools I once trusted as neutral infrastructure into a revenue-generating business unit that profits from my deposits.

Therefore, distribution is both an advantage and a risk. It can make mUSD sticky by default settings, but it may also raise questions about bias and lock-in. If MetaMask adjusts the exchange process to make its own token path cheaper or appear first, it could make the world of open finance less open.

There is also a fragmentation issue.

If every decentralized wallet starts issuing its own dollar token, it could lead to multiple “walled garden” currencies, rather than the interchangeable USDT/USDC duopoly we currently have.

I don't know where this will lead. MetaMask has integrated its card feature, effectively closing the financial loop of buying, investing, and spending mUSD. The growth in the first week indicates that it can overcome the obstacles encountered in the early stages of the launch. However, the dominance of existing giants shows how challenging it is to rise from millions to billions.

The fate of MetaMask's mUSD may lie somewhere in between.

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