Join111

Although many people don’t like the “shanzhai season” talk,
but today even Ordi, Sats, and Rats are pumping.
So I guess this is also the start of sector rotation.
First liquidity/positioning in coins like Ordi—then the BSC ecosystem, then the BTC ecosystem, and then each sector follows?
I guess many new people in the market still don’t even know what Ordi is...

The USD to RMB exchange rate continues to fall (6.81), with the RMB remaining strong and the USD weak, which is somewhat positive for global risk assets (including BTC), but the transmission is limited.
Both the US and Iran are easing tensions (oil prices are falling accordingly), and during the peak of US-Iran conflict, BTC did not continue to plummet (somewhat surprising), instead oscillating between 70k and 75k, showing resilience against declines, but not possessing independent upward momentum.
#今日你看涨还是看跌？

If the yellow-haired guy doesn't cause trouble, the next few weeks might see a partial mini bull market
Recently, I clearly feel that the sentiment has warmed up significantly
First, there are endless scam coins, and violent market making mostly occurs in liquidity-rich markets, and many coins have abnormally high OI funding rates, which is suspicious
Second, everyone's enthusiasm for exiting positions is unprecedentedly high, with an increasing proportion of newcomers. Last year's several conferences didn't have this situation, which has already created a good foundation for a new cycle and n

The talks broke down.. U.S. Vice President Harris issued a statement that after 21 hours of closed-door negotiations with Iran, no agreement was reached. Iran rejected all the conditions proposed by the United States, and the American delegation will immediately depart. Then a reporter asked what Iran had rejected. Harris responded that Iran needs to make a clear commitment to never pursue nuclear weapons, which is the core goal of the United States, but no substantive progress was made in this regard.#Gate广场四月发帖挑战

#BTC #ETH
From the current overall daily chart trend, Bitcoin and Ethereum are beginning to shift from a small-scale to a larger cycle of strength.
Not looking at price, not looking at position, the daily chart here shows signs of a bottom structure. Recently, almost the entire market has been expecting Bitcoin to fall to 40k or 50k, the consensus is very strong, but the trend does not match this expectation. This has raised my strong alertness. In terms of long-term and large-volume trading samples, following the crowd often does not lead to good results.
At this position, I have both spot ho

If it breaks below the lower edge, it will trigger forced institutional liquidation selling, leading to a larger decline. There are two specific scenarios to analyze.
One is that after breaking below the cost band and returning to within the cost band, it immediately sells off, and after the sell-off is complete, the price will definitely experience a sharp decline.
The other is that after breaking below the cost band and selling off immediately, the buy orders cannot absorb the huge sell orders, and after a few sideways candles, it drops sharply.
In summary, as long as the candlestick body do

#Gate广场四月发帖挑战 btc: Support at 70,625-70,275, secondary support at 69,535 (below are defensive levels). The support points on the chart roughly correspond to Fibonacci levels.
Resistance: 73,300 (the range 72,000-73,300 is the first pressure zone above 70,000), 74,250/74,300, 75,750. These resistance points are relatively close to each other and are targets that the bulls may attempt to break through next. The biggest recent resistance: around 76,600 (monthly EMA30). Once broken, the door to 80,000 opens wide.

The rebounds over the past four weeks have all been pullbacks along the 1–3 day moving average. Now, the market is starting to pull back upward along the 5-day moving average and the weekly chart. The pullback has been upgraded, so this month will definitely set a new high, and the top will be higher than the March peak by several thousand points. The upside space has been opened up—this is what determines that low-position longs can be continued. You can be more greedy for more of the upside space. This is the trading logic going forward, with low-position longs as the main focus. If the high

The information interface switches too quickly, so both longs and shorts need to react quickly to take profits and stop losses. If the attack escalates tonight, the trend will be similar to April 2nd. If it's just a false alarm, the rebound will continue. On the daily chart, there is still a rebound trend; once a level has been reached, there's no need to short again. Only short new highs, such as 70400 (the recent resistance point), 71025-71400#Gate广场四月发帖挑战

BTC amplitude narrows, gradually pushing upward, but it’s a low-volume rebound—for now, the main approach is still to short on rallies. Also, the recent support levels are moving up, so for each current minor resistance point, if you short, you need to watch the chart and take profit nearby. Since the various resistance points are very close to each other, it’s not worth setting stop-losses that far; if you trade, you need to participate with a small position. Only if the rebound reaches 68,200-68,750 can you short with a normal position.
Short short points: 67,525 (already hit once—don’t take

Third, technical analysis. The coin is currently hovering around 66,000, appearing to be holding up, but in fact the focus is shifting downward. In the move from 60,000 to 76,000, the 618 retracement level is right at 66 one line. It’s just barely stepping on it right now, but it’s holding very reluctantly. The daily RSI is below the midline and can’t lift, and the MACD is in the red with a bearish dead cross and red bars—everything points to weakness. Also, the diagonal trendline has already been broken. The earlier segment from 64,939 to 69,286 was a zigzag, and now it looks possible that it

#Gate广场四月发帖挑战 . But before the end of the US-Iran conflict, the short-term rebound and shorting profit and loss ratio are still the largest. The symbolic event marking the end of the US-Iran conflict must be the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Other verbal "negotiations" and "friendly talks" are just distractions. Only when the Strait of Hormuz reopens will oil prices be substantially driven down, leading to a surge in US stocks and the crypto market. This timing is believed not to be too far away because crude oil, unlike gold, cannot rise infinitely. It affects various aspects of human ci

Drop from 8-10 AM, then rebound in the European session from 3-4 PM, so you can go long. Usually, you can open a small position near noon; the rebound continues from late night into the morning, so in the morning, go short. After 4-6 PM, it will retest support levels, and before the US market closes, take profits. This has been the short-term rhythm every day recently. From 21:30-23:59, only do ultra-short-term trades during the first half of the night. From 24-4 AM, during Asia's late-night sleep time, do not trade.

8 hours ago at 1 a.m.: Iranian President signals readiness to end the war
Bitcoin rises from 66,500 to 68,500
U.S. stocks Nasdaq up 3%, S&P 500 and Dow Jones up 2%
Silver up 6.00%, Gold up 3%
Brent crude oil plunges -4.00%
So exciting, while I was sleeping, the Iranian President made positive remarks, this time Iran is easing tensions
So the global markets surged, oil prices plummeted.
Finally seeing some hope,
BTC rushes towards 70,000

ETH is slightly stronger than BTC, rebounding first to the 1-day EMA30 (2089). The short-term maximum resistance if it moves higher is the 1-day EMA52 (2166). The middle band of the 1-day Bollinger Bands around 2115 is also a resistance point. If it's a short-term long position for profit-taking, these two levels should be taken profit in stages. For a short position, it involves a core position between these two points (3%) plus a 9-10% position, corresponding to a leverage of 26-30 times.

March 30th, Monday opening
A-shares plummeted -2%, US stock index futures dropped -1.5%
Japanese stock market crashed -5%, Korean stock market crashed -5.2%
Bitcoin BTC dipped to 65,000 then quickly rebounded to 67,000. This wave of a sharp drop at Monday's open caused a global crash, but BTC price did not continue to fall
Panic sentiment reached extreme levels at 8, extreme fear, and continued to double in panic, yet BTC price did not drop
There are only 40 hours left until the monthly close
Still looking for a monthly bullish close; after the decline, it should rebound. From Marc

Earlier, when BTC was still at $69,443, Sugar Brother indicated that the bullish momentum on the hourly chart had already dissipated, and a retest was expected; the trend and expectations were the same, with the price plunging by $4,000. It only began to slow its decline after reaching the short-term support at $65,198.
Currently, the market remains a standard bearish structure across all levels. Continuing to anticipate a retest is a necessary preparation. The upward movements are mostly bait moves, so there's no need to participate, but you can reserve for a high sell after a potential rally

Why did BTC plummet? Risk assets are definitely the first to be sold off in an investment portfolio. The higher the risk, the earlier they are sold, such as ETH, SOL, altcoins, and meme coins, which have already been sold off.
BTC will drop to a price beyond your imagination this year—a super bear market. Are there still people who think it can rise to 150,000 or 200,000? A few months ago, many said it could go to 200,000.