$BTC Bitcoin has been consecutively declining for 4 weeks, marking the first such trend since April 2025.

From the weekly chart structure, the technical aspect is gradually recovering: the weekly MACD has turned bullish again, signaling a bullish trend; the price has successfully reclaimed the April 2025 lows; RSI has re-established above the long-term support trend line.
The next key level in the current market is at 80,000.
Once a strong breakout and stabilization above this level occur, it will further confirm the start of a phase reversal.
However, if the price fails to break through for a long time and faces obvious resistance above, caution should be exercised for a potential pullback to the 74,000 support zone, and to look for new directional choices.
This week also features several key events that will directly impact Bitcoin’s next move:
Indirect talks between the US and Iran,
Japan’s central bank interest rate decision on Tuesday,
FOMC meeting minutes and important earnings reports on Wednesday,
ISM PMI data on Friday.
From a macro perspective,
multiple factors are simultaneously releasing positive signals: the Russell 2000 index hits a new high,
ISM has been above the 52 expansion/contraction threshold for 3 consecutive months,
the new Federal Reserve Chair may be confirmed within weeks,
US M2 money supply hits a new high,
the Fed continues to inject liquidity into the market.
Currently, the market only lacks a key catalyst— a volume breakout above 80,000, accompanied by a sustained premium on Coinbase.
Once this signal appears, the crypto market is expected to usher in a stronger and more optimistic new rebound wave.
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