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$ARIA Dog whale operation script deduction:
Based on order book data, the dog whale’s next performance script is very clear.
Phase 1: High-level consolidation and shakeout
The current price is 0.457, and it’s only one step away from the prior high of 0.473. The dog whale will first make a small upward push to lure longs, moving the price into the 0.47-0.48 range, creating the illusion of “breaking the previous high and continuing a massive surge,” attracting retail investors to chase longs and take the bag. Meanwhile, the whale will quietly distribute at the high level. The whale’s net sell of 116.5K within 30 minutes that you see is the start of this move. After the push, it will quickly dump back into the 0.43-0.44 range, shaking out the unconfident long positions and completing the first round of harvesting.
Phase 2: Second rally to lure more longs
After the sell-off, the dog whale will use a small amount of capital to push the price up again, breaking the prior high of 0.473 and reaching the 0.5-0.52 range, creating an atmosphere of “the start of the main uptrend.” This will make retail investors go fully crazy chasing the highs. At this time, the whale will have already taken profit on most of the longs, while shorts will quietly be opened. The average opening price of the shorts you see—0.36—is the dog whale’s cost basis for the bottom position, and this is the opportunity to add to the shorts.
Phase 3: Violent dump to harvest
After retail long positions have fully loaded with their buys, the dog whale will suddenly and violently dump the price, dropping directly from 0.5 back into the 0.35-0.38 range, even breaking below the previous low of 0.326, completing the ultimate harvest. During the dump, it will use tactics such as wick shots and rebound-baiting to make retail investors hold through the move and add to their positions, ultimately trapping everyone.
Key reminder
Throughout the process, the whale’s long positions have a profit ratio of 95.71%, while all short positions are losing. This shows that the dog whale’s core position is long. Now is the stage for high-level distribution and going short in reverse. Absolutely do not chase the price upward—any rally is a distribution signal. Everyone, pay attention to this coin!!!