The White House warns of insider trading risks, financial markets show unusual movements again, and prediction platforms become the new "eye of the storm"

On April 10th, in response to recent suspected insider trading activities in the financial markets and prediction platforms, the White House Management Office issued a stern warning to all employees, demanding that they never use government confidential information for investments or bets. Behind this warning, some market participants had gained substantial profits through precise timing operations before Trump announced military decisions regarding Iran and Venezuela.
Especially on March 23rd, when Trump posted on social platform Truth Social announcing a pause in attacks on Iranian power plants, the market had already shown signs of abnormal movement. Just 15 minutes before Trump’s statement, large block trades occurred in crude oil and stock futures contracts. Particularly during the two minutes at 6:49 a.m. New York time, trading volume in Brent and WTI futures contracts surged sharply, with market sell quantities reaching 6 million barrels, compared to 700k barrels over the previous five trading days, a dramatic increase. After the announcement, international oil prices immediately plummeted, while stock markets rose due to easing risk aversion.
Additionally, more and more crypto prediction platforms (such as Polymarket) have become the focus of this storm. Anonymous accounts have made precise bets on Iran-related geopolitical events, earning hundreds of thousands of dollars in profits. This phenomenon has raised high alert among analysts, with some payouts related to Middle East situations being suspended, and users engaging in heated discussions about the definition of "ceasefire."
Not only that, even before the U.S. forcibly removed Venezuelan President Maduro, similar precise betting behaviors had already appeared on prediction platforms. These series of events are making regulators and market participants more vigilant, highlighting urgent issues regarding transparency and compliance in prediction markets. #加密市场回升 #美伊停火协议谈判再生变故 #Canary提交现货PEPEET申请 #Meta推出AI模型MuseSpark