2026-03-05 06:00:34

【CME Gap 79660-81210, the ultimate target of this rebound?】

Bitcoin has been highly volatile in the past two days due to news about the Middle East conflict, with the market fluctuating sharply and experiencing several false breakout and false breakdown signals. Short-term trading is quite challenging, but from a long-term perspective, the trend remains clear. We are still following the previously projected script, successfully breaking through and reaching the first resistance level around 74,000, with accurate prediction.

As the market reaches this level, it’s important to focus on defense. First, we clarify that this is only a rebound. Due to heavy resistance above and constraints from industry cycles and liquidity, the rebound expectations are also limited.

At least around 74,000, there should be some consolidation and resistance. Emotional funds might push the price briefly to 75,000, but a pullback is more reasonable in the end, with support near 70,000.

With valid support, there’s a possibility of further upward movement. If broken, the market will likely enter a correction and consolidation phase.

Optimistically, the rebound’s endpoint continues to reference the CME gap 79660-81210. This gap is difficult to fill in one go, and overcoming it will be very challenging. If the price can reach this level, it’s a good opportunity for swing trading!

ETH-3,52%

BTC-3,22%

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橙子研究院

2026-02-13 07:02:51

[Is the true bottom of BTC not here yet? First 80K, then 50K, and finally aiming for 100K — the complete script]

Last night during the live stream, I already outlined the main direction. Here’s a brief summary (the referenced article contains more detailed logic):

The current core idea is:
First, watch BTC rebound to the 75,000–80,000 USD range. During this phase, focus on reducing positions and taking profits; then, there’s a high probability of a retest, dropping to the 54,000–60,000 USD range to find the real stage bottom. Once the second bottom is confirmed, the market will be more likely to enter a large-scale rally, with the target potentially exceeding 100,000 USD.

Therefore, the key to trading is not “holding tightly” or “blindly bottom-fishing,” but:
When there’s room for a rebound, reduce positions to lock in profits; during dips, buy back in low, using volatility to lower the average cost, so profits can be amplified.

In simple terms: survive the wave swings first, then wait for the main upward wave to take profits.

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