3.2 Analysis


Affected by the Middle East conflict, the market showed a unilateral decline in the early hours, with prices rapidly falling from around 67,000 to near 65,000. The daily drop exceeded 2,000 points, and there are no clear signs of stabilization in the market. The decline was mainly characterized by weak consolidation, and the overall bearish trend has not undergone a fundamental change.
This round of decline from 67,000 to 65,000 was driven by continuous bearish candlesticks, indicating active short selling pressure rather than a pump-and-dump scheme; intra-day slight rebounds were very weak and failed to reach the key resistance level of 66,300, forming a typical downward continuation pattern.

On the daily chart, the price has effectively broken below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with the MA5 and MA10 moving averages forming a death cross at high levels and continuing to diverge downward, clearly signaling a medium-term bearish trend.

Under the current trend, any rebound can be seen as an opportunity to strategically short the market.
Big brother's counter-tan at around 67,000, near 68,000, with a target near 65,000, and a break below to 63,600.
Second brother's counter-tan at around 1980, near 2030, with a target near 1910, and a break below to 1850.
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