What is the lowest that Bitcoin can possibly drop to? Here's some data, see the chart below.


The black line represents Bitcoin's price, while the yellow line shows the average cost across the entire network. The calculation method is to take the price at which each Bitcoin was last moved on-chain, weighted by trading volume, then divided by the current circulating supply to get the average cost.
Currently, the average cost is $54,785. Among long-term holders, the average cost is $41,000, while short-term holders have an average cost of $89,000. So even if panic selling hits a record low of 5, and the market is in chaos, the current Bitcoin price still remains above the network's average cost.
During the deep bear markets of 2022, Bitcoin bottomed at $15,000, with an average cost of $20,000 at that time. In the deep bear of 2019, Bitcoin hit a low of $3,100, with an average cost of $4,600. In these two extreme cases, Bitcoin's price was about 70% of the average cost.
Therefore, theoretically, if the price continues to fall, the figure of $54,785 is really the limit. And if the worst happens and the market is pushed to the brink, the 75% of the average cost would be $38,349.
The data is provided to you. Develop your bottom-fishing strategy based on your own situation. No matter what, let's meet again at the peak of the bull market!
#比特币反弹 #特朗普宣布新关税政策 #当前行情抄底还是观望? $ETH
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