📊 2026-02-19 BTC Technical Analysis (as of 13:30)

Current Price: Approximately $66,800 (intraday low pierced $66,000)

1. Short-term Trend (1H/4H)

- Structure: Since the $70,938 (2/15) high, oscillating downward with lower highs
- Moving Averages: 4H/120-minute bearish alignment, $67,600 is a short-term strong resistance
- Bollinger Bands: 4H Bollinger bands trending downward, upper band at $68,300 with very strong resistance
- Oversold Recovery: Hourly indicators showing low-level recovery, slight rebound in the white zone

2. Key Price Levels (Intraday)

- Resistance Levels
- First: $67,600 (moving average resistance)
- Second: $68,000–$68,500 (Bollinger upper band + yesterday’s high)
- Support Levels
- First: $66,000 (intraday low)
- Second: $65,000 (psychological + dense support zone)
- Strong Support: $63,000–$65,000 (long-term holding cost zone)

3. Indicators and Signals

- RSI: Hourly oversold rebound, 4H still weak
- MACD: 4H bearish momentum weakening, showing signs of bottom divergence
- Volume: Rebound with low volume, breakdown with increased volume, bears are dominant

4. Intraday Strategy (Mainly Short, Supplementary Long)

- Short: Enter near $68,000, add to short at $68,500; target $67,000 → $66,000; stop loss at $69,000
- Long: Light position near $66,000, no additional entries; target $67,000 → $67,500; stop loss at $65,500

5. Risk Warning

- Falling below $65,000 may accelerate decline toward the $60,000 range
- Holding above $68,500 suggests a short-term rebound continuation, aiming for $70,000
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