This Week's Market Calendar Brief (02/16-02/20)

Monday (02/16)

Key Events: Federal Reserve Board Member Bowman speech, Eurozone industrial output, Germany CPI final.

Event Impact: If Bowman emphasizes inflation resilience, it will boost the dollar and suppress gold; weak Eurozone industrial data will drag down the euro.

Tuesday (02/17)

Key Events: Federal Reserve's Barkin and Daly speeches; Germany/Eurozone ZEW Sentiment Index, Canada CPI.

Event Impact: Officials' interpretations of employment and AI will influence rate cut expectations; a rebound in the ZEW index may temporarily boost the euro, but watch out for divergence with industrial data.

Wednesday (02/18)

Key Events: FOMC meeting minutes, New Zealand Reserve Bank decision, UK CPI.

Event Impact: If the minutes show cautiousness about rate cuts, it will push up U.S. Treasury yields and suppress gold; a hawkish New Zealand Reserve Bank will boost the NZD.

Thursday (02/19)

Key Events: Fed's Kashkari speech, U.S. initial jobless claims, EIA crude oil inventories.

Event Impact: If Kashkari emphasizes a hawkish stance, it will support the dollar; higher initial claims may offset this effect; a significant increase in EIA inventories will pressure oil prices.

Friday (02/20)

Key Events: Fed's Bostic speech, U.S. PCE and GDP, global PMI preliminary figures.

Event Impact: PCE falling unexpectedly will ignite rate cut bets, benefiting gold and U.S. stocks; weakening global PMI will suppress risk assets.
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