📊 2026-02-14 BTC Technical Analysis + Strategy (As of 12:00, current approximately $68,800)

⚠️ Risk Warning: The following is only technical analysis and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency volatility is extremely high; strictly control position sizes and stop-losses.

1. Core Range (Long/Short Battle)

- Resistance (Up)
- Intraday: $69,500–$70,000 (Strong resistance + yesterday’s high)
- Mid-term: $71,000–$72,000 (Key structural level + short-seller concentration zone)
- Strong Resistance: $74,000 (Rebound limit + 50-day moving average)
- Support (Down)
- Immediate: $67,000–$67,500 (Intraday support + rebound starting point)
- Key: $65,000–$66,000 (Long/Short boundary + chip concentration)
- Lifeline: $60,000 (Psychological + technical watershed)
- Ultimate Defense: $58,000 (200-week moving average)

2. Daily Indicators (Trend Judgment)

- RSI (14): About 15–18 (Deep oversold, historically low level, very strong rebound signal)
- MACD: Green bars significantly shrinking below zero line, fast and slow lines turning, downward momentum exhausted
- Moving Averages: Price below 50/100/200-day moving averages, main trend still bearish
- Pattern: Large bullish candle at low level rebound, signs of stabilization but no reversal

3. 4-Hour/Short-term (Intraday Trading)

- RSI: Above 50, short-term bullish
- MACD: Golden cross, increasing red bars, rebound momentum sufficient
- Bollinger Bands: Lower band support, middle band flat, opening upward
- Conclusion: Short-term rebound trend is clear, but resistance above is dense, oscillating upward

4. Practical Strategies (Can be directly executed)

1) Long (Buy Low / Chase the Rise)

- Buy Low: Light position on pullback to $67,000–$67,500
- Stop-loss: $66,500 (exit if broken)
- Targets: $69,500 → $71,000 → $72,000
- Chase the Rise: Add positions if above $69,500
- Stop-loss: $68,500
- Targets: $71,000–$72,000

2) Short (Short on Rebound)

- Short on rebound to $70,000–$71,000 with pressure
- Stop-loss: $72,500 (exit if broken through strong resistance)
- Targets: $68,000 → $66,000 → $65,000

3) Wait and See (Range Trading)

- When price oscillates between $67,000–$70,000, do not chase orders
- Wait for effective breakout/breakdown to follow the trend

5. Key Risk Control and Signals

- Bullish Risk: Break below $66,500 → rebound fails, beware of decline to $65,000–$60,000
- Bearish Risk: Break above $72,000 → rebound space opens, target $74,000+
- Correlation: Closely monitor BTC and ETH, US stocks, US dollar index linkage
- Position: Short-term 10–20% position, never hold heavy or full position

6. Key Observation Levels Today

- Long/Short Boundary: $67,000
- Rebound Targets: $70,000 / $72,000
- Stop-loss Bottom Line: $66,500 (long) / $72,500 (short)