📅 2026-02-13 BTC Technical Analysis (As of this morning)

Current Price: approximately $65,500–66,000, short-term weak, bearish dominance

📉 Daily Level (Trend Judgment)

- Moving Averages: Price below 50/100-day moving averages, moving averages diverging downward, clear bearish trend
- RSI: around 30, approaching oversold zone, rebound needed but no reversal yet
- MACD: below zero line, green bars expanding, selling pressure remains
- KDJ: low-level dulling, oversold but bearish trend not halted
- Pattern: sharp rise followed by pullback, breaking downwards, no clear sign of bottoming out

⏱ 4-hour / Hourly Level (Short-term Rhythm)

- Bollinger Bands: three bands trending downward, rebound resisted at middle/upper band
- 4-hour RSI and KDJ turning downward simultaneously, bearish dominance
- Hourly chart: price breaks below middle band, bullish volume continues to shrink

🎯 Key Price Levels (BTC/USD)

- Resistance (for short positions)
- First: 67,000–68,500 (strong resistance)
- Second: 70,000
- Strong Resistance: 72,500 (Fibonacci 61.8%)
- Support (for long positions / defense)
- First: 65,000 (short-term strong support)
- Second: 60,000 (psychological + heavy position zone)
- Strong Support: 58,000 (200-week moving average)

🧠 Today's Strategy (February 13)

- Short-term (1–3 days): weak consolidation/rebound, mainly high-altitude short positions
- Light short positions on rebound to 67,500–68,500, stop loss at 69,500, target 66,000→65,000
- If breaking below 65,000, chase short positions, target 63,000→60,000
- Mid-term (1–2 weeks): bearish trend unchanged, only a break above 72,500 could reverse the structure
- Risk Management: light positions, with stop-loss; avoid blindly bottom-fishing, wait for clear signs of bottoming

⚠️ Risk Reminder

- Macro: Fed rate cut expectations delayed, US dollar strengthening, US bond yields rising
- Events: BlockFills suspending withdrawals, liquidity concerns, chain reaction of liquidations
- Technical: breaking below 60,000/58,000 zone, potentially opening deeper correction space
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