ETH Technical Outlook: Breakdown From Range, Entering Deep Corrective Phase

ETH has been rejected from the $4,250–$4,950 macro supply zone (0.786–1 Fib) and has transitioned into a broader corrective structure after the cycle distribution top. Price continues to respect a descending corrective channel, producing lower highs and weak recovery attempts.
Recent price action shows ETH losing the $2,500 (0.236 Fib) level and flushing into the $2,000–$1,750 macro demand zone, where buyers are now attempting to absorb sell pressure. However, higher-timeframe structure remains bearish.
EMA Structure (Bearish Bias, No Trend Reversal Yet)
20 EMA: $2,367
50 EMA: $2,711
100 EMA: $2,982
200 EMA: $3,161
ETH is trading below all major EMAs, confirming a bearish medium- and long-term structure. The $3,000–$3,160 zone (100 & 200 EMA) now acts as heavy dynamic resistance.
As long as ETH remains below this cluster, any bounce is corrective, not impulsive.
Fibonacci & Price Structure
1 Fib: $4,953
0.786 Fib: $4,267
0.618 Fib: $3,728
0.5 Fib: $3,349
0.382 Fib: $2,970
0.236 Fib: $2,502
Fib 0: $1,745
ETH has lost the 0.236 Fib ($2,502) and is now trading in a deep retracement zone, with structural gravity pulling price toward the $2,000–$1,745 Fib 0 base.
A sustained reclaim of $2,500–$2,970 would be required to shift structure back toward neutral.
Structural Context
Price remains inside a descending corrective structure, with no confirmed base yet. Short-term demand is visible near $2,000–$1,750, but ETH must build a range before any bullish structure can develop.
A daily close above $2,500 would be the first signal of structural improvement.
RSI Momentum
RSI (14): 28
RSI is in oversold territory, showing bearish momentum dominance. Relief bounces are possible, but momentum does not yet support a trend reversal.
📊 Key Levels
Resistance
• $2,500 (0.236 Fib / breakdown level)
• $2,970 (0.382 Fib)
• $3,349 (0.5 Fib)
• $3,728 (0.618 Fib)
Support
• $2,000–$1,750 (macro demand)
• $1,745 (Fib 0 / cycle base)
📌 Summary
ETH has completed a distribution → breakdown → markdown sequence from the cycle highs. Price is now in a deep corrective phase with heavy resistance overhead. Until ETH can reclaim and hold above $2,500–$2,970, the structure remains bearish and corrective, not bullish — with $1,745 acting as the key long-term structural base.
$ETH ‌#BuyTheDipOrWaitNow?