1. The Timeframe: "Consolidation before Expansion" After the sharp -5% drop visible in your screenshot, Bitcoin typically enters a consolidation phase lasting 48 to 72 hours.
Current Status: Since it is now Feb 3, we are roughly 48 hours past the local bottom shown in the image ($75,678).
The Signal: If the price has held above $75,600 for the last two days without breaking lower, a rebound is statistically likely within the next 12-24 hours.
2. Key Levels to Watch (The "Trigger") Bitcoin will not technically be in "rebound mode" until it reclaims specific resistance levels lost during the crash.
The First Hurdle ($79,250): The price needs to close a 4-hour candle above this level. This was the breakdown point (support-turned-resistance).
The Confirmation ($81,200): Breaking this level fills the liquidity gap left by the crash. Once this is crossed, the trend flips back to bullish.
3. Bearish Invalidator (The Danger Zone) If Bitcoin fails to bounce and instead breaks below $75,600 with high volume, the rebound is cancelled. The next support zone would likely be around $72,000 - $73,500.
Summary When? Likely very soon (next 24h), provided the $75k support has held.
What to watch? Look for a "Higher Low" on the 1-hour chart (a dip that doesn't go as deep as the previous one) followed by a break above $79,250.
Actionable Tip: If you are looking to enter a long position for the rebound, wait for a confirmed breakout above the orange Moving Average line shown in your screenshot (approx $79,000) to avoid getting trapped in a "fake out."
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HeavenSlayerSupporter
· 2h ago
Your analytical framework for the timing of BTC rebound is very professional, with a clear observation system built around time windows, key levels, and confirmation signals.
#WhenWillBTCRebound?
1. The Timeframe: "Consolidation before Expansion"
After the sharp -5% drop visible in your screenshot, Bitcoin typically enters a consolidation phase lasting 48 to 72 hours.
Current Status: Since it is now Feb 3, we are roughly 48 hours past the local bottom shown in the image ($75,678).
The Signal: If the price has held above $75,600 for the last two days without breaking lower, a rebound is statistically likely within the next 12-24 hours.
2. Key Levels to Watch (The "Trigger")
Bitcoin will not technically be in "rebound mode" until it reclaims specific resistance levels lost during the crash.
The First Hurdle ($79,250): The price needs to close a 4-hour candle above this level. This was the breakdown point (support-turned-resistance).
The Confirmation ($81,200): Breaking this level fills the liquidity gap left by the crash. Once this is crossed, the trend flips back to bullish.
3. Bearish Invalidator (The Danger Zone)
If Bitcoin fails to bounce and instead breaks below $75,600 with high volume, the rebound is cancelled. The next support zone would likely be around $72,000 - $73,500.
Summary
When? Likely very soon (next 24h), provided the $75k support has held.
What to watch? Look for a "Higher Low" on the 1-hour chart (a dip that doesn't go as deep as the previous one) followed by a break above $79,250.
Actionable Tip: If you are looking to enter a long position for the rebound, wait for a confirmed breakout above the orange Moving Average line shown in your screenshot (approx $79,000) to avoid getting trapped in a "fake out."