January 26, 2026 11:10 (UTC+8), ETH is currently trading at $2861.50, down 3.32% in 24h. Short-term volatility is leaning bearish, mainly trading on rebounds for short positions, with light long positions on dips.

📊 Key Price Levels (USD)

- Resistance: 2890 (intraday high), 2930 (5/10-hour moving average), 2960 (previous high/area of concentrated orders), 3000 (psychological level)
- Support: 2850 (intraday low), 2800 (round number), 2750 (52-week low), 2720 (average whale cost zone)

📈 Technical Core Signals

1. Moving Average System: Price breaks below 5/10/20/30-hour moving averages, indicating a bearish alignment, with resistance layered above.
2. Oscillator Indicators: 4-hour RSI ≈ 37, indicating weak oversold rebound potential; MACD shows continued bearish momentum, no clear reduction in volume, no reversal after death cross.
3. Pattern and Volume: Failed attempt to break 2960 followed by a decline, forming a bearish engulfing pattern, 24h volume increases, selling pressure intensifies.
4. On-chain and Market Trend: 2930-3000 is a strong supply zone, difficult to break in the short term; weekly cloud chart is flat, indicating medium-term sideways with slight weakness.

🎯 Trading Strategy (Intraday)

- Rebound to short: Enter at 2885-2895, stop loss at 2920, target 2850-2830, single trade ≤10%.
- Light long on dip: Enter at 2845-2855, stop loss at 2820, target 2880-2885, quick take profit, total position ≤30%.

⚠ Risk Reminder

- Break below 2820 turns into a short; if rebound holds above 2920, downside momentum weakens.
- Watch BTC correlation and macro news, beware of sudden volatility.
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