The 2025 Crypto Market Battle: TRON vs Zcash, a Choice Between Stability and Risk

As the cryptocurrency market enters the fourth quarter, market volatility has intensified, and the performance of different project types has shown clear differentiation. In this smoke-free competition, the two industry giants TRON and Zcash are on completely opposite trajectories—one standing firm through storms, the other wavering under policy pressure.

Steady Response to Challenges: TRON’s Resilience

TRON (TRX) currently maintains a price of $0.30, demonstrating extraordinary resistance in the overall market downturn. In contrast, Bitcoin has retraced from its high to $91.26K, Ethereum has fallen to $3.11K, while TRX has held its key support level. Behind this performance is the support of real application scenarios within the project.

The TRON network holds an absolute advantage in USDT transfers, processing billions of dollars in stablecoin transactions daily. This not only reflects user trust in the ecosystem but also indicates genuine commercial demand. Recent collaborations with platforms like Kalshi, Orbiter Finance, and bridging via LayerZero to Coinbase Base network have further expanded the ecosystem’s usability.

On the technical side, TRON also shows upward momentum—MACD indicators reveal sustained buying strength, with the $0.30-$0.32 range becoming a recent breakout target. Of course, if the support level at $0.28 is broken, the next defensive line could fall back to the $0.20-$0.22 range.

Zcash’s Dilemma: Privacy Theme Under Cold Reception

In contrast, Zcash (ZEC) faces much greater difficulties. Once soaring to a high of $744 in November, it has now fallen to $363.74, down 1.49% in 24 hours. From high to low, ZEC has experienced a fierce shakeout.

The root cause lies in changing regulatory winds. Privacy coins have always been on the “watch list” of global regulators, with many countries adopting cautious attitudes toward anonymous transactions. Similar projects like Midnight have also dropped over 25% in the short term, indicating systemic pressure on the entire privacy track.

However, in the long term, Grayscale pointed out in the “2026 Digital Asset Outlook” that privacy infrastructure is crucial for the integration of blockchain and traditional finance. This leaves room for imagination regarding Zcash’s medium- and long-term prospects. Some analysts even predict ZEC could reach $1,000 within 12 months, but such targets seem overly optimistic given the current market environment.

How Korea’s New Stablecoin Regulations Are Changing the Game

A key variable in market direction comes from Korea. The country’s recent proposed new stablecoin regulation draft has attracted industry attention. This move reinforces a common investor perception: functional networks (like TRON) are more likely to receive policy goodwill, while speculative and privacy-focused projects face greater uncertainty.

This also explains why TRON can remain relatively stable during a bear market—because it is not just an investment asset but also a real payment and transaction infrastructure.

How Investors Should Choose

From a purely trading perspective, TRX’s consolidation range of $0.28-$0.32 provides clear stop-loss and take-profit levels for short-term traders; ZEC, on the other hand, requires investors to be psychologically prepared for continued pressure in the short term unless regulatory expectations suddenly improve.

Overall, the outcome of this market battle is gradually becoming clear—not driven by hype and stories, but by real application scenarios and regulatory attitudes. Projects that deeply cultivate their ecosystems and provide tangible value appear more composed amid cyclical fluctuations.