2026-01-20 03:26:17

January 20th, subtle changes have occurred in the betting market regarding the recent trend of Bitcoin. On prediction platforms, the probability of BTC breaking through the $100,000 mark has dropped to 21%—much less optimistic than many had imagined.

Specifically, the forecasted probability for the $105,000 level is only 7%, indicating that the upward breakout space is gradually being squeezed. Looking at the downside, the probability of falling to $85,000 is 18%, and falling to $80,000 is 6%. Overall, the market seems to be digesting some form of uncertainty, with a slight correction in short-term expectations for a significant rise.

BTC-2,87%

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MercilessHalal

· 01-20 03:56

Wow, 21% to break 100,000? That's even lower than I thought. I'm a bit taken aback.

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GlueGuy

· 01-20 03:56

Damn, 21% breaks 100,000? Why is the prediction market so pessimistic? Feels a bit over the top, doesn't it?

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LiquidationWatcher

· 01-20 03:56

Oh my, 21% breaking through 100,000? That probability is frighteningly low, it seems everyone is panicking.

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OneBlockAtATime

· 01-20 03:51

Wow, 21% breaking through 100,000, this data is even worse than I thought.

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CodeSmellHunter

· 01-20 03:42

Only 21% have broken 100,000? What does this number indicate? Everyone is starting to get scared.

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AlphaLeaker

· 01-20 03:39

Oh my god, 21% breaking 100,000? Is this data joking with me or is it really this pessimistic?

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ApeWithAPlan

· 01-20 03:37

Wow, a 21% chance to break 100,000? Looks like the market is about to turn around. --- A bit of a face slap, where are those people who were shouting to hit 100,000 before? --- Digesting uncertainty? Basically, no one dares to take the risk anymore. --- The probability of 85,000 is actually so high; it seems the downward trend is really expected. --- Predictive markets tend to be counterintuitive; everyone, get ready to buy the dip. --- This round of adjustment is well-deserved; the hype was too intense.

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