Pullbacks are buying opportunities, while rebounds are exit signals.

When the non-farm payroll data is released, the market starts to fluctuate again, and many people are busy trying to buy the dip or sell at the top. But honestly, following the main trend is the most reliable approach.

We all know that in a volatile market, chasing small profits can easily lead to losing everything with just one mistake. True opportunities always lie within the big trend, not in short-term ups and downs. Today, let’s discuss why trend trading is so important, based on the current market conditions.

**The current trend is actually very clear**

Just look at recent data. Institutional funds are continuously flowing back in, with Bitcoin spot ETFs alone net inflows of $4.21 billion in October, completely changing the situation from September. Giants like BlackRock have already held over 800,000 BTC, which is no small move — smart money is already positioning.

Another major signal is the Federal Reserve. Market predictions for rate cuts have reached 98%, meaning liquidity will continuously flow into various asset classes. As a risk asset, the crypto market naturally becomes a target for capital inflows. This is what we should really pay attention to — the direction of global liquidity, not just getting excited when Bitcoin rises $2,000 today or panicking when it drops $1,000 tomorrow.

**The four-year cycle is dead; liquidity cycles are eternal**

Industry insiders have an interesting view: in the past, we always focused on halving events, but the real driving force is actually global liquidity. When both China and the US maintain loose policies, that’s the trend’s direction. Grasping liquidity means grasping the market’s pulse.

Simply put: going with the trend is far safer than repeatedly testing the waters.