2026-01-20 01:22:08

The current market situation is quite interesting. Retail investors across the entire market are frantically trying to buy the dip, each betting that 3200 is the final bottom. But from a different perspective, what is the logic of the big players? Will they push the market up at this point? Absolutely not. They might actually continue to dump, pushing the price below 3180, forcing others to sell at a "bloodied" price.

There's an old market saying: "Retail investors don't die, and big players don't push the market." Even if the price rebounds to 3220, it might just be to attract more people to buy high. From a trading perspective, it’s safer to continue holding a short position and observe.

If you want to trade, you can wait until the rebound loses momentum—say, when the rally stalls around 3210—and then go short with a stop loss at 3230. The target for this downward move could very well be directly at 3150 or even 3120.

The most important point is: avoid crowded areas. When all retail investors are desperately trying to buy the dip, the true bottom is usually not where everyone thinks it is. Let others take the risk; you can stay on the sidelines with stablecoins and observe. Patience is often the best strategy in this Ethereum cycle.

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YieldWhisperer

· 10h ago

nah this "whale manipulation" narrative is giving me 2021 flashbacks. actually the math doesn't check out—if whales *really* controlled price action like this, we'd see consistent on-chain wallet patterns. let me examine the contract...

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GateUser-0717ab66

· 11h ago

Still talking about the old trick of retail investors getting caught, if there are many people, we just won't go. --- Holding a vacant position and watching the show is the best strategy; don't be fooled by 3200. --- Wait, this logic sounds like it's advising us not to move either... --- Stablecoins earning yields while lying down is more relaxing. --- If 3150 really comes, then we'll talk; anyway, I won't buy in. --- Still thinking that the big players are pulling the market up, probably overthinking it. --- The place with the most people is ironically the place to hold a vacant position, which is against human nature. --- Holding USDT and waiting, it's more reassuring than anything else. --- Those who get caught in the trap must hurt a lot... --- If the rebound is weak, open a short? Sounds good, but I'm afraid I can't execute it.

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Gm_Gn_Merchant

· 14h ago

When retail investors are frantically buying the dip, the truly smart people have already cashed out. Watching the show with stablecoins, waiting for the dust to settle before making a move.

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DaoResearcher

· 14h ago

Based on on-chain data and market microstructure analysis, the hypothesis in this article holds true in some aspects, but it overlooks a key variable: the depth of the liquidity pool. It is worth noting that when retail investors concentrate around a certain psychological price level, they actually form a hidden governance mechanism—the consensus among market participants itself is part of the price discovery process. From a game theory perspective, the statement in the article "Retail investors won't die out completely, and market makers won't manipulate the market" has multiple equilibrium solutions. I personally tend to believe that this is an oversimplification. The real question is: how do you know you're not the retail investor being exploited?

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OnchainDetective

· 14h ago

The places where retail investors try to bottom out are often the knives of the big players; 3200 is definitely not the bottom. Holding cash and watching the show is the best strategy; don't follow the herd into buying. The most crowded positions are where the most people get wiped out; this wave still needs to be hammered down. Another one claiming "I know what the big players are thinking," as expected, it's all the same story. Wait until the rebound to 3210 loses momentum before considering; entering now is just giving away money. Holding stablecoins and watching others bleed is still a good feeling. 3150 is the real target, what are these people at 3200? Don't rush; patience is the key to making big money. Retail investors always get killed trying to bottom out.

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SerumSurfer

· 14h ago

Retail investors trying to bottom fish, I knew there was no bottom. The big players are playing this move too skillfully.

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OnchainSniper

· 14h ago

Retail investors buying the dip are just feeding the whales. 3200 is definitely not the bottom; keep expecting lower.

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ProtocolRebel

· 14h ago

Retail investors bottom-fishing, I will stay in cash. There's no rush to get in this time. --- I don't believe 3200 can't be broken. Those following the herd will end up losing. --- Wait for the rebound to lose strength before opening a short. Now is the time to take the hit. --- Watching the market with stablecoins is comfortable; don't follow the crowd and get cut. --- I agree with this logic: the crazier retail investors are, the farther the bottom is. --- 3150 is my target. Why rush? --- Observing from the sidelines is really satisfying. Let's see those who get trapped give up their chips first. --- The more people there are, the more dangerous it is. This sell-off isn't over yet.

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