$BTC ‌

Bottom fishing or waiting and watching?
The two most stable approaches to current market adjustments are avoiding blindly bottom fishing or panicking and cutting losses. Combining short-term volatility with medium- and long-term trends, here are two strategies for investors with different risk preferences:
1. Short-term trading (intraday/4-hour): Light positions and strict risk control
For short-term traders, it is recommended to adopt a "light position" approach, avoiding high leverage:
- BTC short opportunities: When the price rebounds to the $94,000-$95,000 range, if RSI has not broken above 60 and MACD confirms a death cross, consider opening a small short position, with a stop-loss above $95,500 (near intraday highs), targeting $92,000-$91,000.
- BTC long opportunities: When the price stabilizes at $91,900 and RSI rises above 50, try small long positions, with a stop-loss below $91,000, targeting $93,500-$94,000.
2. Medium-term positioning (daily/weekly): Patience and stabilization before acting
For medium-term investors, the key strategy is "waiting for stabilization" to avoid entering too early:
- BTC: Focus on the $90,000 support level. If the price stabilizes here, consider building positions in phases, with a stop-loss below $88,000, targeting $98,000-$100,000. If it breaks below $90,000, it is advisable to stay on the sidelines and wait for clearer stabilization signals.
Risk control red line: Whether short-term or medium-term, keep positions within 30% and avoid high leverage. Closely monitor US stock trends, the US dollar index, and ETF capital flows. If macro sentiment worsens, adjust strategies immediately.

Market outlook: Volatility or correction? The key depends on these two signals
In the short term, BTC is likely to stay within the $91,000-$95,000 range.
The market direction mainly depends on two critical signals:
First, whether macro sentiment improves. If expectations of Fed rate cuts reignite and US stocks stabilize, capital may flow back into the crypto market, and BTC could surge again to $98,000-$100,000.