#比特币现货ETF Seeing the outlooks from major institutions for 2026, I have to calmly pour a cold water. The wave of Bitcoin spot ETFs has indeed changed the game, providing a formal channel for traditional capital to enter, but this is precisely what I am most wary of.

Remember the frenzy of 2017? Back then, I was also overwhelmed by FOMO. Now, institutions say stablecoins will challenge fiat sovereignty, spot altcoin ETFs will break 50 types, and the total assets in crypto ETFs will surpass 400 billion—sounds very tempting, but don’t forget, big capital entering the market is never for retail investors’ benefit. They come to harvest, just in a more covert and compliant way.

What truly deserves attention is that detail: Galaxy Digital predicts BTC will reach $250,000 in 2027, but at the same time says that in 2026, "there will be significant room for both upward and downward movement." Translated, it means—volatility will be very high, and you might get left behind if you're not careful. VanEck says this year might be a consolidation year, and that’s the reality.

Institutions are optimistic about market predictions, stablecoins, and ETF innovations—these are indeed trends. But as someone who has been navigating this space for many years, I want to say: don’t be blinded by the "institutions are optimistic." When institutions come in, rules will change. When rules change, retail investors relying on information asymmetry will have to adapt. The real risk prevention is not blindly following the footsteps of institutions, but understanding their gameplay and then figuring out if you are truly a player in this game.

The secret to surviving long on-chain has never been chasing the hot trends, but knowing when to exit.