2026-01-20 00:01:29

#数字资产市场动态 The Federal Reserve Declassification Files have just been released, revealing details of the crucial 2020 meeting. What did the zero-interest-rate decision led by Powell ultimately evolve into? Inflation surged the following year, yet the Fed stubbornly waited until 2022 to start raising rates. This "black history" of policy delays has now become a hot topic among analysts—after all, every policy shift changes market expectations.

The recent turbulence in the crypto market offers some clues. $DUSK surged nearly 30% in a single day, and $ARPA even broke through a 50% increase. Behind this is the market digesting macro expectations and re-pricing accordingly. But the question is: are these gains real opportunities, or are they risk signals lacking fundamental support?

In such an environment, choices seem especially critical—whether to chase profits and avoid risks or to build positions gradually. What are your thoughts? What is the logic behind market actions?

DUSK-16,65%

ARPA4,16%

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StablecoinArbitrageur

· 10h ago

actually, if you run the numbers on that 2020-2022 lag... the correlation between fed policy surprise and altcoin volatility spikes to like 0.87. not saying the dusk/arpa move is artificial, but the order book depth tells a different story ngl

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Degen4Breakfast

· 10h ago

It's the same old trick again. Policies are delayed by a few years, then crypto prophets foresee the surge and go all in, while we follow late and buy high—classic rug pull script. A 30%, 50% increase looks exciting, but do you really dare to buy in? It feels like macro expectations are being hyped, but what about the fundamentals? The decisions made in 2020 have already been reflected in the price. Isn't it a bit late to be trading this news now? Gradually building positions sounds rational, but if the market continues to be so volatile, it's easy to get caught off guard and be trapped. Powell's policies have caused a lot of pain for many people, and they're still paying the price for those decisions.

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GasFeeCrier

· 10h ago

It's the same old story. The mess from 2020 is still affecting us now. Powell really messed up back then. Delaying interest rate hikes directly fed the inflation monster. $DUSK $ARPA's recent surge is outrageous; it feels like macro expectations are being hyped, with no real support. Honestly, in this environment, building positions requires caution; risk signals are flashing brightly. History always repeats itself. Policy shifts tend to wipe out a wave of people each time. Instead of guessing the big direction, it's better to be cautious and buy in batches. Don't chase after those crazy coins.

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BugBountyHunter

· 10h ago

Powell's move is just a joke now. It took two years of inflation running wild before they finally reacted, and we've already been cut multiple times. $DUSK The rise of $ARPA is, frankly, the market betting on a policy shift next. Can you believe it? I think such a rebound is likely to become fodder for the bagholders. Wait, could this be another trick...

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ChainSherlockGirl

· 10h ago

Powell's good move is now being thoroughly exposed, haha. The delay in interest rate hikes in 2020, to be honest, paved the way for the subsequent crypto market gains, and then it was waiting to be heavily harvested in 2022. Based on my analysis, the 30-50% increase in DUSK and ARPA is mostly driven by a macro expectation reversal, but I doubt many people are truly willing to go all-in—after all, history is right in front of us.

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BearMarketBarber

· 10h ago

It's the Federal Reserve's usual routine again. The promised rate hike was delayed by more than two years, and retail investors are still paying the price for the "surprise" back then. The recent rise in DUSK and ARPA is just catching up with macro expectations, but don't be fooled by false breakouts. Without strong fundamentals, it will eventually fall back.

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