Can Bitcoin reach the $140K threshold? Market structure indicates a possible price increase within six months

The current trading price of Bitcoin around $92.95K stands in stark contrast to the ambitious expectations circulating among market analysts. Some experts, including Fadi Aboualfa, suggest that a rise to $140,000 within 180 days is not unthinkable—provided certain conditions are met.

The Three-Step Scheme: From Peak to Expansion

At the core of this analysis is a recurring market rhythm that has repeatedly played out in previous Bitcoin cycles. The first phase culminates in an all-time high, followed by a correction in which speculation and excessive leverage are purged from the system. The third step: the market forms a support zone where long-term investors accumulate while short-term sellers capitulate.

This three-step mechanism has historically led to accelerated increases—steeper and faster than previous trends. Once that balance is restored and the phase shifts from consolidation to expansion, room for significant price movements arises. The total price could then accelerate as a result of structural demand.

The Critical Zones: $86K to $95K as a Turning Point

The current price zone around $86,000 to $92.95K served in previous market cycles as an transition area between rest and resumption. When Bitcoin shows prolonged stability here without strong selling pressure, the likelihood increases that larger market players are building positions.

This picture is reinforced by signals of institutional participation. Reports of large financial entities building Bitcoin exposure via regulated products indicate structural demand rather than speculative waves. Additionally, declining volatility and neutral funding rates point to healthier market mechanisms—capital is allocated based on long-term decisions, not short-term leverage positions.

The next critical resistance lies between $90,000 and $95,000. Convincingly breaking this level would prove that previous resistance has turned into support. Subsequently, Bitcoin must reach $100,000 with significant trading volume—a necessary condition to make the movement sustainable.

Checklist for Validating the Bullish Scenario

Whether the total price can actually move toward $140,000 depends on clear confirmation signals. The first: convincing reclaim of $90K-$95K. The second: breakthrough of $100K with substantial volume. Without volume, any breakout remains fragile.

Positive ETF net flows are essential because they reflect structural demand rather than momentum trading. Experts also point to declining funding rates as an indicator of healthy market structure, as well as stable on-chain stablecoin data suggesting controlled leverage.

Macro Factors and Risk Scenarios

Despite the compelling pattern, risks remain real. A hawkish policy environment, persistent inflation, or tighter monetary policy could suppress risk appetite. Unexpected liquidity stress in traditional markets might push capital out of crypto.

In such scenarios, Bitcoin could remain sideways or test lower support zones again. This underscores the importance of risk management and position sizing, even when the fundamental case appears strong.

Conclusion: Pattern versus Uncertainty

The claim that Bitcoin could move toward $140,000 within six months is based not on sentiment but on recurring market structure and operational confirmation criteria. That said: timing remains uncertain, and volatility is structurally present. The current price of $92.95K suggests the market is still in the consolidation phase—the real test lies ahead.

For investors, it is essential to look for concrete signals: volume confirmation, institutional inflow, and technical levels. Only when these elements align will the bullish scenario gain real traction.