2026-01-19 00:20:42

The long-term trend of ALT/BTC is reproducing historical cycle patterns. By observing historical candlestick charts, both 2016 and 2020 experienced retests after breakthroughs, followed by an altseason within a year as expected. Interestingly, the same technical pattern is being reenacted in 2025. Based on this cycle framework, 2026 is expected to usher in a new wave of major market movements. History may not repeat exactly, but it often rhymes. From breakout to retest, and then to the start of the altseason, this rhythm has appeared across multiple cycles. Pay attention to the structural opportunities in ALT/BTC, as they may be brewing the next wave.

ALT-8,72%

BTC-2,14%

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ChainBrain

· 14h ago

Stop bragging. Who still remembers 2016 and 2020? The key point is that BTC is so strong now, but there's no more coins in hand. Basically, it's just gambling—betting on the cycle you mentioned in 2026. Historical rhymes are bullshit. This time, the Federal Reserve's policy is completely different. The cycle theory is just for listening. I don't believe you. Someone said the same thing last year at this time. Let's talk again when the price really drops and creates an opportunity. It's too early to talk about altseason now.

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MoonMathMagic

· 15h ago

It's the same cycle theory again, sounding pretty mystical, but I believe in the rhyme of history. --- We haven't even had the 2026 bull run yet. Let's understand the current opportunity first. --- Wait, can the backtest confirmation really compare 16 and 20? The market environment now is way too different. --- Alright, I bet on 2026. Anyway, just treat it as playing with spare money. --- I've heard the cycle规律 (laws) too many times. Every time they say it's coming, but what’s the result? --- I can somewhat understand the logic of breaking the level and confirming the backtest, but when the altseason will start is a bit uncertain. --- Waiting to be proven wrong in a year, but I still need to pay attention to this pattern. --- Feels like they're about to start storytelling again. Where are the charts? Without charts, what can I say?

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faded_wojak.eth

· 15h ago

It's the same cycle theory again, saying the same thing in 2016 and 2020, but what’s the result? Historical rhymes are rhymes, but my wallet doesn’t rhyme Big market in 2026? Let’s see if I survive this year first, haha Backtesting confirmation? All I see are confirmations of being trapped Breakthrough, breakthrough, isn’t that just the prelude to a sell-off? Is this really different? I’m betting five bucks, but it’s the same old routine Looks like it’s going to happen, but in reality, it’s just gambling Waiting for 2026? I’ll see you next year

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fren_with_benefits

· 15h ago

It's another cycle theory, sounds pretty reliable, but I didn't catch the bottom in 2016. --- Rhyming, huh? Then I'll wait for the 2026 altseason, anyway, I'm just wasting time. --- Reinterpreting in 2025? Let's see if it can break the previous high first, feels like another round of tinkering. --- Historical candlestick charts look good, but I don't know who can precisely catch the buy and sell points. The ones truly making money are always that 1%. --- When ALT rises, someone always says it's a cycle pattern; when it falls, they call it a black swan. It's hilarious. --- Breaking through, backtesting, confirming this theory every year—it's just a matter of whether it can really rise. --- Big market in 2026? I can't even predict tomorrow's market right now. --- Wait, if we follow this logic, why didn't this wave in 2024 take off? Has the cycle become invalid? --- Instead of analyzing cycles, it's better to focus on projects that are truly being built. No matter how good the technicals look, there must be demand.

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HashBrownies

· 15h ago

The old saying about rhyming history has been heard quite a bit, but this wave of ALT/BTC is indeed interesting. Let's see if it can be realized by 2026.

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