Here's a fascinating historical pattern worth tracking: whenever the market closes out a red Q4, Q1 has *always* delivered gains. It's a consistent cycle that's held across decades of market data. This seasonal trend suggests that post-holiday selling pressure typically exhausts itself by year-end, setting up a rebound as fresh capital flows back in come January. Whether driven by portfolio rebalancing, tax-loss harvesting reversals, or simply renewed optimism heading into a new quarter, the data speaks for itself. Worth keeping in mind as we navigate market cycles and plan entry/exit strategies.
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VitalikFanboy42
· 6h ago
ngl, this pattern sounds like just another overhyped "inevitable rule"... aren't there still many people whose predictions are proven wrong every time they claim to speak with data?
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tokenomics_truther
· 6h ago
ngl, this pattern sounds like the old trick of survival bias... does it really work every time?
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Degen4Breakfast
· 6h ago
Nah, I've heard this explanation too many times. Every time they talk about historical patterns, but the result is still eating noodles.
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MEV_Whisperer
· 6h ago
Nah, I've heard this argument for years, and I always feel there are exceptions... The data looks good, but when it comes to actual operations, you still have to consider the macro environment.
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LiquidationWatcher
· 6h ago
ngl this "always" hits different when you remember 2022... seen too many "historical patterns" get absolutely wrecked in hours. not saying the data's wrong but like... health factors don't care about seasonality man. been there, lost positions to margin calls thinking the pattern would hold. watch those collateral ratios fr
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HashBrownies
· 6h ago
NGL, the seasonal rhetoric is getting old. Every time it's "data speaks," and what happens? Still a sharp decline at the beginning of the year.
Here's a fascinating historical pattern worth tracking: whenever the market closes out a red Q4, Q1 has *always* delivered gains. It's a consistent cycle that's held across decades of market data. This seasonal trend suggests that post-holiday selling pressure typically exhausts itself by year-end, setting up a rebound as fresh capital flows back in come January. Whether driven by portfolio rebalancing, tax-loss harvesting reversals, or simply renewed optimism heading into a new quarter, the data speaks for itself. Worth keeping in mind as we navigate market cycles and plan entry/exit strategies.