2026-01-18 13:30:55

I spent 30 days building an HFT bot for prediction markets, and the numbers speak for themselves.

Starting capital: $20k. One month later: +$195k in profit.

Here's what the system does:

The bot trades BTC and ETH across 15-minute price prediction markets. It's not trying to predict the next big move—it's executing hundreds of small positions per week. We're talking almost 500 trades in a single week with a 55% win rate. Doesn't sound high? The magic happens through continuous compounding on those micro-positions.

The strategy is straightforward in concept but ruthless in execution. Every tiny edge gets scaled. Position sizes grow as the account grows. No holding for the big reversal. Just consistent execution, tight risk management, and letting the law of large numbers do the heavy lifting.

Is it sophisticated? Not really. Is it effective? The results are hard to argue with. Whether this scales long-term or hits natural market limits is another question entirely.

BTC0,13%

ETH1,02%

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MetaNeighbor

· 6h ago

Wait, earning from 20k to 195k in a month? That number sounds unbelievable. What about slippage and gas fees? --- A 55% win rate is enough to win passively? I don't think it's a strategy problem; it's probably that the backtest didn't consider real market impacts. --- 500 trades in a week, how much capital is needed to actually run without getting eaten by orders? --- Sounds like every trading bot promotion, but you'll really know once you try it with your own money. --- Micro-position compounding sounds great, but you'll be doomed when liquidity dries up. --- Bro, is this real trading data or backtest results? You need to clarify. --- The law of large numbers is correct, but the market isn't stupid; it will adjust automatically. --- A 55% win rate isn't as high as you think, but the real question is who pays the fees. --- I just want to know if this system can withstand black swan events. --- Feels like another "I made money" story, and no one ever shows account screenshots.

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ETHmaxi_NoFilter

· 6h ago

Wait, a 55% win rate earning 10 times in a month? Feels like I've heard this story before... Bro, these numbers really can't hold up. No matter how powerful the compound interest, you have to consider slippage and fees. Is this a real backtest or live trading? That's very important.

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AllInDaddy

· 6h ago

I'm a question mark. Making 195k a month with 20k, what kind of luck is that?

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ETHReserveBank

· 6h ago

Doubling in 30 days, this number is a bit hard to believe... --- A 555% win rate sounds pretty outrageous, but small position compounding can indeed create impressive results. --- Just want to know if this guy is using a demo account or real trading? --- Micro positions stacked together also carry significant risk; a big loss could set you back to square one. --- The law of large numbers is well explained, but could market flow restrictions and slippage interfere with this logic? --- It's all high-frequency trading; why do others lose while he makes money? --- Compound interest is interesting, but I'm just worried that one day the counterparty might suddenly go rogue...

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SneakyFlashloan

· 6h ago

Make 10 times in 30 days? These numbers leave me speechless. This time, Brother Shui is really coming. A 55% win rate can just sit back and win? I still find many things I don't understand. Wait, have all these 500 trades really been executed? High frequency and compound interest again, sounds like a story. Damn, this return rate... is it real or not? Why does it feel like something's not quite right? Long-term expansion? I think it's a joke. 15-minute K-line with so many trades, isn't slippage eating your profits? I don't believe you, this is the true gambler's mentality.

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