2026-01-17 19:23:50

I asked AI to help compile a list—the potential black swan events and global risks that could occur within the next 50 years. Those kinds of events sound absurd but could truly reshape the geopolitical landscape.

The list is quite interesting. Some are possibilities of escalating geopolitical conflicts, some involve territorial re-drawing due to resource disputes, and others include long-term threats like climate disasters and technological out-of-control scenarios.

Although these extreme scenarios seem unlikely, if they do happen, they could trigger chain reactions in global capital flows, commodity prices, and even the crypto markets. Every geopolitical upheaval in history has been accompanied by asset revaluation. The role of Bitcoin and other digital assets in such uncertain environments is worth pondering—potentially as a form of value storage that transcends geographical boundaries.

Which risk scenario do you think is most likely to occur within our lifetime?

BTC-0,12%

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GateUser-6bc33122

· 12h ago

The black swan has arrived, and BTC is soaring. This is really not an alarmist warning.

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MetaverseLandlord

· 12h ago

Haha, I'm familiar with the black swan list routine... Basically, it's just betting on chaos, a common logic among crypto people. But speaking of which, when geopolitical tensions flare up, it's really the best marketing opportunity for crypto. Everyone wants to escape sovereign currencies at that moment... I bet the food crisis will come first; it's much more reliable than nuclear war.

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TokenDustCollector

· 12h ago

I think the climate refugee crisis is the most realistic... Geopolitical conflicts are too dramatic. Honestly, the black swan list sounds like science fiction, but climate issues are already happening; it just depends on when it will truly break out. Once large-scale population migration begins, capital markets will definitely explode, and BTC will become more popular.

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TokenStorm

· 12h ago

I think the highest risk factor is in geopolitical conflicts. On-chain data shows that large amounts of funds tend to flow into stablecoins just before turbulent times, and historical backtesting has also confirmed this pattern. However, if it actually happens, the mining fees are likely to skyrocket. Just imagine fighting network congestion in the eye of a global storm.

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